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Rotten Tomatoes Predicts the 2024 Oscar Nominations

Check out our best, highly educated guesses as to who will be nominated for Academy Awards next week.

by | January 19, 2024 | Comments

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Poster image for Oppenheimer (2023)

(Photo by Courtesy of Universal Pictures)

It’s time for our yearly Oscar nomination predictions, and even with this massive run of awards shows recently, the awards obsessives (yes, that includes us) are dialed in. And we should be, as several categories have been so dominated that folks are already calling them over. As much as we would like to say the competition is steep in categories like Best Score, Best Director, Best Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Production Design, and Editing, the combined might of Barbie, The Holdovers, and Oppenheimer has those races pretty much sewn up.

However, there is still a lot to be said about those who will join them on Oscar night. It’s not cliche to say that it is an honor just to be nominated, and for many of these actors, this is their best chance to level up within the industry. Consider what an Oscar nomination would do for names like Greta Lee and Charles Melton. Melton will likely not be competitive against the star power of Robert Downey Jr. And Ryan Gosling, but he will have supreme bragging rights if his name is called next Tuesday. From Riverdale to an Oscar nomination is quite a leap. This Thursday’s BAFTA nominations were all over the place, but they did give us a peek into some of the surprises we’ll see later on our nominations list.

If you’ve been checking our Awards Leaderboard, you know that Oppenheimer has been running away with the lion’s share of wins and is currently on track to be the most awarded film that we’ve ever had since we began tracking. However, the more compelling conversation is around which potential foreign language entries are going to compete, whether or not a film like Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse will be able to catapult into the Best Picture race, and whether or not those “cuspy” nominations for names like Sterling K, Brown and Andrew Scott can sneak in.

Teo Yoo and Greta Lee in Past Lives (2023)

(Photo by A24)

Since Parasite won Best Picture in 2019, the international influence on the Academy has been deep and noteworthy, as evidenced by the internationally favorable shortlist and the fact that films like The Zone of Interest, Anatomy of a Fall, and Past Lives are competing for Best Picture. We are starting to see that Bong Joon-ho’s hope of an Academy with a more global focus, hurdling “the one-inch barrier of subtitles,” has, in fact, come true. But as we say every year, nominations morning is built for snubs and surprises, and we’ll be here to recap those after they are announced on Tuesday. Either way, buckle up. We expect a very fun ride all the way to Oscar night.

Our Awards Editor, Jacqueline Coley, has made these guesses on who will be nominated next Tuesday. She based her picks on potential nominees’ critical reception (hello, Tomatometer!), the nominations and wins they’ve been receiving from guilds and other groups during awards season, and what we’re hearing from voters and other industry folks — aka the “buzz.”

Read on for our picks for the 2024 Oscar nominations. Let us know who you think will be nominated in the comments, and tune in on Tuesday on ABC at 8 a.m. EST/5 a.m. PST to see if we — or you — were right.

Best Picture

Poster image for Barbie (2023)

(Photo by Warner Bros Pictures)

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: The Zone of Interest

Shoulda Been a Contender: All of Us Strangers, Fair Play, A Thousand and One

Best Actor In a Leading Role

Who will be nominated?

Bradley Cooper – Maestro
Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction
Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer 
Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Possible Spoilers: Andrew ScottAll Us Strangers, Colman DomingoRustin

Shoulda Been a Contender: Jamie Foxx – The Burial 

Best Actress In A Leading Role

Who will be nominated?

Carey Mulligan – Maestro 
Emma Stone – Poor Things
Margot Robbie – Barbie
Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
Greta Lee – Past Lives

Possible Spoilers: Sandra Huller Anatomy of a Fall, Natalie PortmanMay December

Shoulda Been a Contender: Fantasia BarrinoThe Color Purple, Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One

Best Actor In a Supporting Role

Who will be nominated?

Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction
Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things
Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon
Ryan Gosling – Barbie

Possible Spoilers: Charles Melton May December, Dominic Sessa The Holdovers

Shoulda Been a Contender: Paul Mescal – All of Us Strangers

Best Actress In A Supporting Role

Da'Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers (2023)

Who will be nominated?

Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple
Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers 
Jodie Foster – Nyad
Penelope Cruz – Ferrari
Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer 

Possible Spoilers: Sandra Huller – The Zone of Interest

Shoulda Been a Contender: Claire Foy – All of Us Strangers

Best Animated Feature Film

Who will be nominated?

Best Cinematography

Who will be nominated?

Best Costume Design 

Who will be nominated?

Best Director

Christopher Nolan on the set of Oppenheimer (2023)

Who will be nominated?

Christopher N0lan – Oppenheimer
Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things
Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest
Greta Gerwig – Barbie
Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Possible Spoilers: Celine Song Past Lives, Alexander Payne The Holdovers

Shoulda Been a Contender: Takashi Yamazaki – Godzilla Minus One

Best Documentary (Feature)

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: Four Daughters

Shoulda Been a Contender: Kokomo City

Best International Feature Film

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: Io Capitano, The Promised Land, Totem

Shoulda Been a Contender: Anatomy of a Fall

Best Music (Original Score)

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: Saltburn, The Zone of Interest

Shoulda Been a Contender: Elemental

Best Music (Original Song)

Who will be nominated?

“It Never Went Away” from American Symphony
“I’m Just Ken” from Barbie
“What Was I Made For?” from Barbie
“The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot
“Road To Freedom” from Rustin

Possible Spoilers: “Can’t Catch Me Now” from The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes, “Keep It Movin'” from The Color Purple

Shoulda Been a Contender: “Peaches” from The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Best Visual Effects

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: Poor Things

Shoulda Been a Contender: Oppenheimer

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: All of Us Strangers, Are You There God? It’s Me, Margret. 

Shoulda Been a Contender: Blackberry, Pricilla

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)

Who will be nominated?

Possible Spoilers: Saltburn

Shoulda Been a Contender: Fair Play, A Thousand and One

The 2024 Academy Awards nominations will be announced on January 23, 2024 at 5am PST/8am EST. Check back at Rotten Tomatoes to see who gets a nod. 

Are you as obsessed with awards as we are? Check out our Awards Leaderboard

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EDITORS NOTE: An early version had The Killer listed instead on Killers of the Flower Moon for Best Adapted Screenplay.