Weekend Box Office

Box Office Guru Preview: War Leads Army of New Releases

Superbad likely to hold boxoffice in second week of release.

by | August 23, 2007 | Comments

Action stars Jet Li and Jason Statham face off this weekend in the new crime thriller War which leads a flood of new releases pouring into North American multiplexes trying to catch the final dollars of the summer movie season. The R-rated Lionsgate release finds the two playing an assassin and a federal agent, respectively, and will aim for young male audiences. Both actors have solid followings and the combination allows War to offer a two-for-one deal that will make the ticket price well worth it for many fans.

Li’s last films Fearless and Unleashed each bowed to just under $11M with averages of a little less than $6,000. Statham’s Crank opened over Labor Day weekend last year with $10.5M and an average of $4,158 over three days while during the same holiday frame in 2005 his action sequel Transporter 2 debuted to $16.5M with a $5,008 average over three days. Lionsgate has had a strong marketing push on War and should connect with male action fans. Last weekend’s top three films Superbad, Rush Hour 3, and The Bourne Ultimatum will all provide some direct competition, but a solid bow is likely. Opening in 2,271 theaters, War could premiere with about $14M this weekend.

Statham and Li compare wireless signals in War.

Scarlett Johansson plays the nanny to the family from hell in The Nanny Diaries, the big-screen adaptation of the popular novel. The PG-13 film co-stars Laura Linney and Paul Giamatti and will have some trouble appealing to moviegoers outside of its core white female demo. Critics have not been too supportive which will only hurt the film’s chances at the turnstiles. Nanny will be lucky to gross in its entire domestic run what last summer’s The Devil Wears Prada collected in just its opening weekend. As the lead, Johansson does not provide too much starpower so many will wait to catch this on DVD later. Debuting in about 1,800 theaters, MGM’s The Nanny Diaries could open to around $7M this weekend.

Johansson scaring young children in The Nanny Diaries.

One of the year’s biggest blockbusters overseas finally makes it to U.S. shores. Universal’s Mr. Bean’s Holiday targets families in the final days before students go back to the land of homework. The G-rated entry finds the popular British character winning a trip to France and of course, stumbling into all kinds of odd situations along the way. Having already grossed $189M internationally, Holiday doesn’t really need much success in North America to be a moneymaker, but it would like some more gravy on top. Competition is light, however the marketing push has not been too powerful so a modest debut could result. Falling into 1,580 venues, Mr. Bean’s Holiday might open with about $6M.

Bean up to his usual tricks in Holiday.

A struggling journalist tries to make a major news item out of the story of a homeless man who used to be a boxer in the new drama Resurrecting the Champ. Samuel L. Jackson and Josh Hartnett star in the PG-13 flick which lacks major buzz as it steps into the box office ring. Starpower is also weak in this one and paying audiences will be hard to find. Yari Film Group is releasing Champ in 1,602 theaters and could find itself with about $3M this weekend.

Resurrecting the Champ

Jon Voight stars in the Mormon massacre pic September Dawn which Slowhand Releasing will quietly unleash into about 850 theaters. Neither Voight nor Mormons are part of successful box office formulas and the marketing push has been minimal in this case so no big dollar amounts are expected. A three-day take of about $1.5M could be in the works.

Jon Voight in September Dawn.

Coming off of a spectacular opening weekend, Sony’s Superbad hopes to make it two in a row on top. The R-rated film’s only main competitor for young men will come from War as the frame’s other new releases either target different audience segments or will barely be a blip on the radar. A 45% drop to about $18M would give Superbad a ten-day tally of $70M.

Rush Hour 3 will race past the $100M mark this weekend and could slide by 50% to around $10.5M. That would give New Line $107M after 17 days. Fellow threequel The Bourne Ultimatum should have a better hold and drop by 40% to roughly $12M putting the Universal smash at $185M overall with its eye on the double-century mark by Labor Day.

LAST YEAR: Buena Vista topped the charts with its football saga Invincible which bowed at number one with $17M on its way to a solid $57.8M. Will Ferrell‘s comedy Talladega Nights placed second with $8.1M while Little Miss Sunshine expanded and jumped up to third place with $7.4M. Warner Bros. opened its comedy Beerfest in fourth with $7M leading to a $19.2M final. World Trade Center rounded out the top five with $6.5M in its third frame. Two smaller films debuting far below were Universal’s Idlewild with $5.7M and New Line’s How to Eat Fried Worms with $4M. Final tallies reached $12.6M and $13M, respectively.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Tag Cloud

strong female leads richard e. Grant CBS Family Interview Heroines Biopics Character Guide true crime Comedy Apple mockumentary ABC Family Amazon Studios asian-american TV renewals FX on Hulu singing competition SDCC laika social media Quiz italian The Walking Dead VH1 NBC Holidays Brie Larson BBC America 71st Emmy Awards Women's History Month screen actors guild Winter TV Western 24 frames Cosplay The Purge rotten Mystery book Walt Disney Pictures science fiction Awards Tour Ovation space news Musicals dark Superheroes TCA 2017 Martial Arts Mudbound BBC A&E Fox Searchlight transformers Endgame comics superhero GLAAD Video Games movies Rocky Sci-Fi witnail miniseries cancelled TV series animated Columbia Pictures travel spain worst 20th Century Fox DC Comics Watching Series Universal Rom-Com supernatural nbcuniversal RT History Pet Sematary YA sequels critics Music justice league Certified Fresh Schedule Bravo Rocketman SXSW franchise Superheroe breaking bad canceled TV shows Paramount Network Premiere Dates series YouTube Premium FOX Teen Pop jamie lee curtis documentaries E! Warner Bros. Disney toy story award winner NYCC Black History Month green book boxoffice best Film Captain marvel Fox News Grammys what to watch biography Peacock crossover Opinion batman teaser spanish Lifetime remakes Spectrum Originals RT21 Netflix Christmas movies Paramount serial killer Trailer 21st Century Fox venice BET Awards 45 disaster National Geographic YouTube politics Binge Guide golden globes halloween tv reboot Chilling Adventures of Sabrina Television Academy spanish language Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt cancelled TV shows Election Film Festival Horror Pixar 2016 Funimation Marvel Television cops directors Polls and Games IFC Films Amazon Prime christmas movies Oscars cancelled sag awards VICE Baby Yoda Academy Awards psychological thriller adventure 2018 Spring TV Acorn TV zombie 2015 Musical all-time Amazon Prime Video Animation slashers game of thrones spider-man halloween free movies Awards children's TV concert period drama ESPN composers El Rey crime TV Winners AMC Pirates mission: impossible diversity twilight CW Seed DC Universe Trophy Talk Chernobyl docudrama crime thriller The Witch TBS dogs blockbuster chucky The Arrangement APB parents Set visit Nominations 2019 cartoon versus scorecard south america Masterpiece theme song Nickelodeon television hollywood 99% CBS All Access medical drama cooking Mary Tyler Moore discovery TNT films football Country Starz MTV Fall TV Extras Netflix Epix spy thriller doctor who Infographic TCA Awards festival Food Network Thanksgiving First Reviews OWN independent Sneak Peek USA TCA Mindy Kaling criterion thriller renewed TV shows Arrowverse Marvel elevated horror rotten movies we love dramedy GoT latino Sundance deadpool Summer james bond police drama game show revenge Avengers DC streaming service harry potter Turner spinoff Vudu HBO ABC Action war rt archives Comedy Central talk show comic books nfl Adult Swim comiccon BBC One WGN streaming First Look Pop TV Amazon Crackle Marvel Studios Tarantino Toys Britbox natural history Esquire Logo Star Wars comic USA Network video quibi Writers Guild of America Countdown black 4/20 Shudder Drama Marathons 72 Emmy Awards japanese anime Trivia a nightmare on elm street BET Year in Review name the review toronto WarnerMedia Nat Geo facebook Calendar LGBTQ technology comedies Dark Horse Comics nature screenings casting Kids & Family Tubi Disney streaming service die hard Reality adaptation Best and Worst dragons The CW robots emmy awards Lionsgate MCU canceled Tomatazos based on movie Christmas finale festivals vampires IFC Freeform Star Trek ghosts Disney+ Disney Plus kids reviews YouTube Red hist Hallmark Christmas movies Photos binge GIFs Emmy Nominations Reality Competition blaxploitation TV Land Sundance Now FX Apple TV Plus SundanceTV Lucasfilm CMT Shondaland HBO Go obituary Showtime Holiday Television Critics Association tv talk stop motion romantic comedy ID aliens worst movies Anna Paquin 2017 Elton John TLC Apple TV+ australia zero dark thirty sequel History Box Office Sony Pictures archives romance Podcast President A24 New York Comic Con PBS Song of Ice and Fire Creative Arts Emmys Lifetime Christmas movies Travel Channel American Society of Cinematographers Crunchyroll CNN Disney Channel TIFF LGBT Mary poppins MSNBC Ellie Kemper zombies Pride Month 007 sitcom cults indiana jones Cartoon Network HBO Max classics Ghostbusters hispanic OneApp mutant TCM video on demand cats child's play indie Red Carpet unscripted BAFTA movie Cannes Tumblr crime drama joker anthology Hallmark PaleyFest political drama cancelled television satire Black Mirror DirecTV dc X-Men historical drama documentary See It Skip It Valentine's Day Syfy french Hear Us Out Hulu Super Bowl werewolf scary movies TCA Winter 2020 TruTV ratings Comics on TV universal monsters Emmys PlayStation ITV Spike VOD cars The Academy Mary Poppins Returns Fantasy DGA E3 foreign Disney Plus stoner Sundance TV psycho Discovery Channel fast and furious Stephen King Comic Book Classic Film FXX Rock sports San Diego Comic-Con stand-up comedy dceu Turner Classic Movies 2020 cinemax