Weekend Box Office

Weekend Box Office Results: The Predator Has Spine With $24 Million Weekend

And A Simple Favor does better than expected.

by | September 16, 2018 | Comments

Warner Bros.’ five-week run at the top of the box office came to an end this week as moviegoers moved from a nun to a predator. Ironically, this week’s faith-based effort fell to the bottom while the top film’s title is a reminder of its behind-the-scenes casting controversy and the studio’s subsequent failure at crisis management. That being said, Shane Black’s reboot of the iconic ‘80s alien bested Robert Rodriguez’s 2010 production, but will it suffer the same lack of interest going forward?

King of the Crop: The Predator Leads But Is It Primed For A Fall?

The Predator 2018 (Kimberley French/20th Century Fox)
(Photo by Kimberley French/20th Century Fox)

One of the film’s best running jokes is whether or not the title is appropriate. Ironically, The Predator only thrives on name recognition. Although some critics may have reacted in kind to the scandal (Black had cast his registered sex offender pal opposite Olivia Munn) which broke shortly before its opening night midnight premiere at the Toronto Film Festival last week, audiences still showed up for $24 million. That is less than 2010’s Predators which opened to $24.7 million against a 65% Tomatometer. The Predator currently sits at 34%, ahead of Predator 2 (27%) and the woeful Alien vs. Predator films (20% & 11%). 

Predators fell an abysmal 71.1% in its second weekend and finished with a final multiple of its opening weekend of just 2.10. Only Bruno, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 and Sleepover had worse second week drops in July since 2000. The worst drops in September for films released in over 3,000 theaters (The Predator is in over 4,000) belong to Resident Evil: Retribution (-68.2%), Apollo 18 (-67.2%) and Insidious: Chapter 2 (-65.7%). The Predator does not have a lot of direct competition next week. However, don’t be too shocked if the drop-off looms large as its numbers from critics and audiences compute directly with last year’s Morgan (-74.9% drop in 2,020 theaters) and Retribution, films which finished with multiples of just 1.94 and 2.01, respectively. Even if The Predator stretches to $55 million, the production budget of $88 million is going to demand a lot from international sales, where it has made an additional $30.7 million thus far.

Fresh Surprise: A Simple Favor Surprises On Multiple Levels

(Photo by Lionsgate/courtesy Everett Collection)

Paul Feig’s supposed trip into darker drama, A Simple Favor, was also a no-show at the late summer festivals and it seemed Lionsgate was being reserved in marketing. They even advertised it as a dark domestic mystery in the vein of Gone Girl or The Girl on the Train rather than what it is – a Paul Feig goof on that very genre. Make no mistake, A Simple Favor is a comedy, not to mention the best-reviewed (82%) of this week’s wide releases and the studio’s second-best opening of the year after Tyler Perry’s Acrimony ($17.1 million.) It made $16 million — not too shabby if the word also spreads positively. It could surpass Overboard as Lionsgate’s highest-grossing film of 2018. 

Rotten Returns: White Boy Rick Shows No Path To Redemption

(Photo by Scott Garfield /© Columbia /Courtesy Everett Collection)

Sony did have White Boy Rick at the Toronto Film Festival last week and critics appear indifferent about it with a 63% rating. As did audiences who spent $8.8 million on it.

That’s the weakest 2500+ theater opening for Sony since last year’s back-to-back releases of Flatliners ($6.5 million/2.552 theaters) and Only the Brave ($6.0 million/2,577 theaters). Also, raise your hand if you knew there was a sequel to Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken this weekend with a whole new cast, director and studio. PureFlix’s Unbroken: Path to Redemption opened to $2.35 million, slightly less than their last release of pardoned felon Dinesh D’Souza’s documentary, Death of a Nation ($2.36 million).

Beyond (and Within) the Top Ten: Franchise Milestones, a Sundance Hit And A High Mark For Spike Lee

Crazy Rich Asians (Sanja Bucko/Warner Bros.)
(Photo by Sanja Bucko/Warner Bros.)

Last week’s champion, The Nun, dropped 66.2% to second place. That is the fourth largest drop for a film opening between $50-60 million making the top five: Valentine’s Day (-70.4%), Watchmen (-67.7%), The Village (-67.5%), The Nun (-66.2%) Green Lantern (-66.1%). Except Warner Bros. is laughing all the way to the bank with a $228 million worldwide gross so far on just a $22 million budget. That’s even more than Crazy Rich Asians which remains on a path for somewhere around $180 million domestic. That has made $37.9 million internationally to date. Of course there is still The Meg, which crossed the half-billion mark this weekend. Conservatively, it still needs another $34 million to break even for the studio.

Mission: Impossible – Fallout is well into profit for Paramount with over $760 million worldwide; the fifth highest-grossing film of 2018. Sony’s Hotel Transylvania 3 has also passed the half-billion mark; the first film in the series to reach that benchmark. Plus, their Searching is now the third highest-grossing film from Sundance this year and has become a nice little success overseas as well with an additional $26.2 million. That’s the same amount for Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman which has grossed over $75 million worldwide, making it the second highest-grossing film ever for the director after Inside Man.

This Time Last Year: It Ruled, Assassin Shot Down and mother! Was a Thing

Stephen King's It Pennywise (Bill Skarsgard) (Warner Bros. Pictures)
(Photo by Warner Bros. Pictures)

Warner Bros. did actually rule this weekend last year as It continued its dominance with $60.1 million; a second weekend that is still higher than any other weekend in September including last week’s The Nun ($53.8 million). As for new challengers, Lionsgate’s American Assassin grossed $14.8 million making it pretty much D.O.A. as a potential franchise launch. That was still nearly double Darren Aronofsky’s polarizing mother! with Jennifer Lawrence which opened to $7.5 million and yet, for better or worse, will be remembered for years in ways that American Assassin won’t. The top ten films grossed $101.5 million and had an average critical score of 63.9%. This weekend’s grossed an estimated $93.4 million and averaged 57.2% with critics.

On the Vine: Ticking Clocks And Disasters Both Critical And Presidential Open

(Photo by Quantrell D. Colbert /© Universal Pictures /Courtesy Everett Collection)

Eli Roth tries his hand with family horror in his first non-“R”-rated offering in The House With A Clock In Its Walls. This Is Us creator, Dan Fogelman, directs the already critically-lambasted Life Itself (20%), not to be confused in any way with the Roger Ebert documentary and memoir. Then there is Michael Moore’s Fahrenheit 11/9, which is making a splash with critics after its Toronto Fest premiere (92%). That will open wider than Fahrenheit 9/11 did in 2004 (over 1,500 theaters compared to 868,) which remains the highest-grossing documentary of all time. But is the choir Trumped-out at this point? If it can match the $23.9 opening of his 2004 post-Oscar success, it could just lead the box office.

The Full Top 10: September 14-16

1. The Predator – $24.0 million ($24.0 million total)
2. The Nun – $18.2 million ($85.0 million total)
3. A Simple Favor – $16.0 million ($16.0 million total)
4. White Boy Rick – $8.8 million ($8.8 million total)
5. Crazy Rich Asians – $8.7 million ($149.5 million total)
6. Peppermint – $6.0 million ($24.2 million total)
7. The Meg – $3.8 million ($137.0 million total)
8. Searching – $3.2 million ($19.6 million total)
9. Unbroken: Path to Redemption – $2.35 million ($2.35 million total)
10. Mission: Impossible – Fallout – $2.31 million ($216.1 million total)

Erik Childress can be heard each week evaluating box office on WGN Radio with Nick Digilio as well as on Business First AM with Angela Miles and his Movie Madness Podcast.

[box office figures via Box Office Mojo]

Tag Cloud

NBC zombies Thanksgiving zero dark thirty sports cancelled TV shows TCM Mary Poppins Returns supernatural Toys Oscars golden globes Musicals Walt Disney Pictures franchise FX on Hulu TCA Winter 2020 Star Trek Sundance Now Disney+ Disney Plus Mudbound Superheroes Masterpiece Marvel slashers The Purge based on movie Family BET dogs Marathons Premiere Dates Disney Plus video directors crime drama Apple TV renewals FXX discovery hispanic YA christmas movies Turner NYCC Spectrum Originals Song of Ice and Fire Summer History Infographic crime thriller Crunchyroll Character Guide OWN TCA diversity First Look Marvel Studios canceled TV shows Lifetime Christmas movies VH1 ghosts Travel Channel sequel Mary Tyler Moore mockumentary anthology green book Awards Tour Women's History Month cancelled television crime disaster finale RT History Emmys Tarantino 20th Century Fox Shudder Extras boxoffice elevated horror Mindy Kaling New York Comic Con tv talk Calendar Hallmark Western CNN streaming Lucasfilm Ellie Kemper south america 71st Emmy Awards cats ESPN Winter TV canceled Bravo The Arrangement mutant Disney Channel Pride Month AMC miniseries Academy Awards Opinion Adult Swim VICE Nominations Disney streaming service binge DC Universe name the review Amazon Showtime LGBTQ dceu CBS All Access teaser breaking bad Election San Diego Comic-Con Tumblr blockbuster Hulu Pet Sematary cults Creative Arts Emmys Video Games First Reviews facebook Discovery Channel Film Festival Awards versus Elton John National Geographic A&E Kids & Family Biopics book jamie lee curtis Drama Photos YouTube Red cancelled TV series Teen singing competition USA Pop TV scary movies Sundance DC streaming service nature OneApp Vudu Nat Geo game of thrones toy story HBO Max dramedy Musical TV Land Crackle See It Skip It Lifetime Writers Guild of America Christmas Winners rotten movies we love APB RT21 Red Carpet The CW Food Network Lionsgate Cosplay ABC IFC 21st Century Fox vampires YouTube YouTube Premium Hallmark Christmas movies 007 Action technology composers cops unscripted 24 frames Holidays Tomatazos sitcom war psycho PBS romance game show adaptation docudrama strong female leads Spring TV Rocky dc Pop Sony Pictures werewolf Trailer cartoon romantic comedy TNT stand-up comedy Reality Competition Superheroe FOX DirecTV 2018 Black History Month Starz President festivals Black Mirror 2019 Countdown The Walking Dead SXSW GIFs cancelled Comedy Central talk show joker dragons Super Bowl police drama revenge Trophy Talk Fantasy Comedy ABC Family social media witnail quibi Animation Cannes screenings Syfy TIFF anime animated GoT true crime Shondaland IFC Films aliens CW Seed Cartoon Network batman Funimation Binge Guide universal monsters Comics on TV cooking A24 Country TCA 2017 Rocketman theme song spinoff Universal spider-man Ghostbusters children's TV 2016 E3 TBS renewed TV shows award winner television comic Apple TV Plus Netflix comiccon reviews Amazon Prime Nickelodeon historical drama psychological thriller comics politics Sneak Peek TV Logo Anna Paquin TLC Holiday Marvel Television movie Acorn TV BBC America DC Comics adventure El Rey Amazon Studios Esquire X-Men Polls and Games Disney Interview Certified Fresh kids Brie Larson Fox News space cinemax screen actors guild PaleyFest biography ITV MSNBC MTV Avengers reboot blaxploitation Rock Dark Horse Comics harry potter zombie Quiz Rom-Com The Witch serial killer halloween Heroines Comic Book doctor who Chernobyl Set visit Pixar Reality Apple TV+ Mary poppins medical drama cars Box Office Sundance TV GLAAD Horror BBC Warner Bros. casting richard e. Grant Music indie Stephen King Mystery 2017 Freeform robots Captain marvel Columbia Pictures sag awards WarnerMedia Grammys 2020 Ovation Arrowverse Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt natural history Pirates travel SundanceTV free movies Epix spy thriller FX DGA CBS Spike thriller MCU LGBT justice league Britbox series Podcast Sci-Fi Film Amazon Prime Video Baby Yoda Watching Series Valentine's Day crossover Tubi foreign HBO American Society of Cinematographers Best and Worst WGN independent CMT Paramount Network political drama hist what to watch latino Martial Arts Trivia Paramount spain Classic Film 2015 period drama documentary Television Academy spanish language Year in Review SDCC science fiction Netflix Christmas movies Endgame USA Network E! Turner Classic Movies Fall TV movies 45 Schedule transformers ratings Emmy Nominations Chilling Adventures of Sabrina Star Wars TruTV Peacock