Weekend Box Office

Box Office Guru Preview: Lucky "13" Hopes for Full Houses

by | June 7, 2007 | Comments

The stars come marching out to do battle with the pirates for the number one spot this weekend.

For the sixth consecutive weekend, a threequel is poised to command the top spot at the North American box office as Warner Bros. rolls out the caper pic "Ocean’s Thirteen" reuniting Hollywood’s fun boys. Sony counters with the family offering "Surf’s Up" while Lionsgate goes after the horror crowd with "Hostel Part II." Each film should target its own audience so there should be space for all newcomers.

George Clooney, Brad Pitt, Matt Damon and their endless list of co-stars are back again as everyone’s favorite criminals in "Ocean’s Thirteen." The PG-13 pic finds the group back in Las Vegas on a heist driven by revenge against a real estate mogul, played by Al Pacino, who is launching his latest luxury hotel/casino. The first two in the series had December openings of $38.1M for 2001’s "Ocean’s Eleven" and $39.2M for 2004’s "Ocean’s Twelve." They also had little direct competition for adults. Although they opened in the same fashion, the sequel was not as well-liked and found its way to $125.5M, or about one-third less than the $183.4M cume of the original which itself was a remake.

"Thirteen" should play to the exact same audience of mature adults. Appeal is equally strong for males and females and even some teen interest should be there. Reviews have been generally positive but that should have little impact. Moviegoers know exactly what they are getting the third time around and will decide based on if they want to take another two-hour trip seeing slick actors, with slick hair, and slick clothes, acting cool. Those soured by "Twelve" may take a pass on "Thirteen." Plus "Pirates" and "Knocked Up" will provide some solid competition. But the sheer amount of starpower should make this entry hard to resist to many looking for a fun mature film without pirates, super heroes, and endless special effects. "Ocean’s Thirteen" rolls the dice in 3,565 locations this weekend and might win about $37M over three days.


For those kids who can’t get enough of talking cartoon penguins, Sony unleashes its big summer animation entry "Surf’s Up." Delivered in a mockumentary style, the PG-rated film tells the story of penguins that compete in a surfing competition, and of course crack jokes along the way. Arriving just three weeks after "Shrek the Third," "Surf’s Up" will have to deal with competition from the ogre toon and to some extent the other aging threequels which combined should gross north of $40M this weekend. The new penguin pic does not have the buzz or the starpower of a Robin Williams that helped "Happy Feet" shoot to number one last November with a $41.5M bow on its way to a terrific $198M.

Instead, "Surf’s Up" seems to be in the same middle category with recent films like "Open Season" and "Meet the Robinsons" which opened to $23.6M and $25.1M, respectively. With children in the process of ending their school years and starting their summer vacations, parents should be in the mood to take them to the movies for some non-violent fun. "Surf’s Up" lands in over 3,000 theaters on Friday and could debut with about $24M.

"Surf’s Up," aka "March of the Happy Feet."

Yet another horror sequel makes its way into theaters with Lionsgate’s "Hostel Part II." The first "Hostel" was a number one hit last year opening to $19.6M on its way to an impressive $47.3M off of a tiny budget. The new R-rated entry finds three American students in Rome who find themselves caught in a grisly game of torture and mayhem. Horror fans have been suffering from fright fatigue lately. The recent sequels "The Hills Have Eyes II" and "28 Weeks Later" both opened to just under $10M failing to match the bows of their predecessors. Other horror flicks like "Bug," "The Condemned," "The Reaping," and "Vacancy" all underperformed over the last several weeks and have helped to scare fans away from the genre.

But Lionsgate is among the best at selling this type of fare to older teens and young adults and the distributor is hoping to tap into a built-in audience. Just as with the first one, Quentin Tarantino whores his name out again with a ‘presents’ credit on the marketing materials. It would be interesting to know what kind of compensation, monetary or otherwise, he gets for these transactions. Locking up ticket buyers in 2,350 theaters, "Hostel Part II" may open with around $12M.

"Hostel: Part II," sure to warm the hearts of all.

Following its two frames at number one, "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End" should give up the top spot this weekend, although the runnerup slot is not necessarily a guarantee. The pricey Disney adventure fell by 62% last weekend and could see its drop dip to 50% this time. That would give Johnny Depp and his buddies about $22M for the session and $254M overall.

Last weekend’s number two flick "Knocked Up" raced past "At World’s End" to claim the number one spot on Monday and Tuesday thanks to great buzz and is prepared to see a solid hold this time around. Two summers ago, the R-rated comedies "Wedding Crashers" and "The 40-Year-Old Virgin" both dipped by only 24% in their sophomore frames thanks to stellar word-of-mouth and no major competition from new releases. "Knocked Up" has the same great satisfaction from moviegoers, but will see much of its adult audience get tempted away by Brad and company. A 30% drop would still give it a great hold with about $21M for the frame. That would push the cume to a stunning $68M in only ten days.

"Shrek the Third" will face direct competition from rival toon "Surf’s Up" this weekend. That could lead to a 40% decline to roughly $17M boosting the cume to $282M.

LAST YEAR: Disney and Pixar joined forces for the number one opening of "Cars" which cruised into the top spot with $60.1M. The animated comedy raced to $244.1M domestically becoming the summer’s biggest non-Captain Jack flick, and over $462M worldwide. Universal’s comedy "The Break-Up" fell 48% in its second date grossing $20.3M and was followed by "X-Men: The Last Stand" with $16.1M. The horror remake "The Omen" bowed to $16M over the weekend and a creepy $36.3M over six days since its Tuesday launch on 6/6/06. Fox scared up $54.6M eventually. "The Da Vinci Code" rounded out the top five with $10.4M in its fourth lap. Debuting to solid results in a moderate launch was "A Prairie Home Companion" with $4.6M from 760 locations for a $6,008 average. The Picturehouse release found its way to $20.3M.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Tag Cloud

historical drama Nickelodeon composers sag awards 2019 Photos Tumblr Comics on TV spy thriller Cosplay cancelled TV shows hist technology cartoon quibi TCM Comedy Central Rock war GoT justice league Apple TV+ DGA USA Netflix Christmas movies toy story spanish language Lucasfilm aliens 2018 Elton John Western Red Carpet social media mockumentary The CW Trailer Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt BBC America Box Office cops Video Games Emmy Nominations spider-man Tubi Year in Review Mary Poppins Returns Freeform APB zombies screen actors guild Starz Amazon Prime Video sports Endgame cooking Drama Film Festival south america CNN Biopics Spring TV spinoff President television hispanic canceled Trivia BET versus USA Network blockbuster 24 frames The Arrangement Captain marvel facebook The Walking Dead Martial Arts Rom-Com YA SundanceTV OWN cults binge serial killer Netflix MSNBC reboot halloween Television Academy Marvel Television YouTube Red LGBTQ Musicals series San Diego Comic-Con Family Character Guide dragons Tarantino Trophy Talk The Purge DC Comics The Witch 21st Century Fox diversity Calendar political drama Premiere Dates NBC Masterpiece teaser Creative Arts Emmys TIFF AMC Toys Sundance Now 20th Century Fox name the review Star Wars elevated horror Spectrum Originals DirecTV Polls and Games sequel Holiday crime drama 45 Amazon PaleyFest RT21 Kids & Family Sci-Fi romantic comedy dc TCA 2017 Awards based on movie travel docudrama Turner Classic Movies indie Set visit Teen Watching Series WGN Apple TV Plus Adult Swim witnail Pride Month El Rey discovery robots adventure vampires Sneak Peek Reality disaster CW Seed Lifetime MCU anthology Fantasy transformers 2016 finale Apple zero dark thirty psycho Awards Tour Pixar Food Network Chernobyl Nat Geo ABC Family singing competition Vudu nature Mudbound miniseries Chilling Adventures of Sabrina Academy Awards game show Disney streaming service Showtime joker TNT comic animated National Geographic Emmys Crunchyroll 2015 Summer book Pop award winner Paramount Network FX spain 71st Emmy Awards Universal sitcom psychological thriller christmas movies Pet Sematary werewolf First Look Sony Pictures harry potter Mystery Schedule breaking bad children's TV Song of Ice and Fire Ellie Kemper TBS CMT Discovery Channel CBS LGBT BBC cancelled cars Podcast Bravo thriller Mary Tyler Moore renewed TV shows batman Pirates E3 cancelled TV series VH1 A&E Cannes Baby Yoda space HBO supernatural green book Hulu Hallmark Christmas movies Shudder Holidays VICE free movies Esquire Walt Disney Pictures Avengers movies OneApp dceu History American Society of Cinematographers boxoffice Infographic Best and Worst Columbia Pictures Star Trek strong female leads TCA Quiz E! Superheroes FOX crossover kids Animation slashers YouTube Premium cancelled television See It Skip It ABC DC streaming service Comedy adaptation independent GIFs tv talk New York Comic Con foreign Election Black Mirror Lifetime Christmas movies NYCC Anna Paquin canceled TV shows theme song directors Music anime GLAAD Certified Fresh crime thriller TV Binge Guide Ghostbusters Stephen King Acorn TV streaming Ovation Writers Guild of America Peacock festivals Women's History Month doctor who MTV PBS Disney Plus TCA Winter 2020 CBS All Access Lionsgate Winter TV Shondaland Turner ESPN Amazon Prime cinemax TV renewals Christmas X-Men period drama 007 science fiction medical drama YouTube DC Universe rotten movies we love Horror Oscars screenings Nominations Super Bowl richard e. Grant TLC biography Grammys Logo Marvel RT History Cartoon Network Epix Country Extras crime true crime mutant Spike ratings latino Musical FXX talk show stand-up comedy Rocky 2020 Arrowverse Comic Book politics comics comiccon Classic Film Paramount Action Film Marathons Heroines cats Marvel Studios police drama Disney+ Disney Plus jamie lee curtis natural history Warner Bros. video Rocketman A24 Superheroe Disney Channel IFC Films HBO Max dramedy IFC blaxploitation Winners revenge what to watch unscripted Mary poppins Fall TV Thanksgiving zombie 2017 SXSW Opinion Valentine's Day WarnerMedia Syfy Countdown Sundance TV Tomatazos Sundance Disney Interview Brie Larson Hallmark SDCC ITV First Reviews Mindy Kaling Fox News TruTV Dark Horse Comics golden globes romance TV Land Crackle Reality Competition Britbox ghosts game of thrones casting