Weekend Box Office

Weekend Box Office Results: Crimes of Grindelwald's $62 Million is Harry Potter Low

Plus, Instant Family is latest in streak of Mark Wahlbombs.

by | November 18, 2018 | Comments

Critics gave Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald the Harry Potter franchise its first Rotten movie rating. Judging by this weekend’s box office results, audiences remain relatively on board. But what will the future hold?


King of the Crop: Fantastic Beasts Wins Weekend But Signals Trouble Ahead

(Photo by Warner Bros)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald topped the box office this weekend easily, but that’s about the only domestic victory the film can claim. It can’t even boast having the best start of the 2018 holiday season so far, falling behind The Grinch’s $67.5 million last week. By the time the final estimates come out it may not even be a Top 25 November opening. (However, it’s international numbers are more than solid with a worldwide tally of $253 million just this weekend.)

The $62 million opening is the lowest in the entire Harry Potter franchise. The previous low: Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them with $74.4 million. Before that it was Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, though that posted the second-highest multiple of the series with a 3.78x.

Fantastic Beasts is scheduled to be a five-part series, and critics are bailing on just the second movie. Will audiences? Anything less than $234 million domestic (likely) equals declining territory. And less than $200 million domestic will be a major disappointment for WB. So is it the international haul that truly matters? Like the Transformers and Pirates of the Caribbean franchises, American audiences may have grown weary, but as long coffers fill overseas, we will see more of them yet.


Rotten Returns: Instant Family Continues Streak of Mark Wahlbombs

(Photo by Paramount)

Paramount got strong reviews from critics for Mark Wahlberg-starring Instant Family, but the $48 million production from Sean Anders did not have that sweet Daddy’s Home connection with Will Ferrell. Confident that audiences would be looking for a potential feel-good film for the holidays, the studio moved the film up from February into this weekend and was rewarded with just $12.5 million. Since 1990 there have been a dozen films that have started between $13.7-$15.7 million, and only three of them have reached $50 million: The Jackal (1997), Horrible Bosses 2, and Mel Gibson’s Hacksaw Ridge, which benefited from an awards run. If word-of-mouth cannot build Instant Family this will go down as the seventh straight film that Mark Wahlberg has headlined that has ended up on the losing side of its budget. Steve McQueen’s Widows seemingly is in the same boat as Instant Family with just a $12.3 million opening and $42 million budget. But as a potential awards player, there is a room for longevity.


Top Ten and Beyond: Grinch Eyes Seasonal High, No Box Office Rhapsody For Adult Fare

20th Century Fox
(Photo by © 20th Century Fox)

Illumination’s animated adaptation of The Grinch finds itself in a pretty good position, pulling ahead of The Lorax (also from Illumination) with a 10-day gross of $126.5 million. That puts The Grinch at a total end estimate in the $230-$240 million range. Meanwhile, another box office song going on: Bohemian Rhapsody, which looks to end in $170 million range. It is over $384 million worldwide to date, making the film a tremendous success for Fox.

Non-Grinch, not-Queen movies have less to sing about. With respective budgets of $38 and $43 million, Overlord and The Girl In the Spider’s Web are at a mere $17.7 and $13.2 million. The new Dragon Tattoo Story is only at $26 million worldwide. Overlord is not much better at $32 million, but it is safe to say we have have seen the last of Lisbeth Salander on the big screen. Disney and theaters are bailing fast on another overpriced failure: The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($43 million domestic, $116 million worldwide against a$120 million budget), which vanished from over 1,100 theaters in just its third weekend.

Julian Schnabel’s At Eternity’s Gate had the best per-theater-average of the weekend, with $92,000 in four theaters, though it is not much of a number to crow about. Another awards hopeful, Green Book, played 25 theaters, driving up $312k before it will expand into over 1,000 on Wednesday. For the MST3kers out there, Mystery Science Theater 3000: The Movie opened in 26 theaters to $206k. (Enjoy the new season on Netflix this Wednesday!) 


This Time Last Year: Justice Prevailed But Wonder Was The Real Winner

(Photo by Warner Bros)

This time last year, Justice League led the way with $93 million but the film was ultimately a major failure, grossing just $229 million and presenting lingering questions about the DC Universe. The true success was the performance of Wonder, the heartwarming tale starring the great Jacob Tremblay, which opened to $27 million, going on to earn $132 million domestic and over $305 million worldwide. Its 4.8x multiple was the sixth best ever for a November release opening in over 3,000 theaters, behind The Blind Side, The Polar Express, Frozen, Elf, and National Treasure.

The top 10 films last year grossed $192.8 million and averaged 59% on the Tomatometer. This year’s top 10 grossed an estimated $160.7 Million, averaging 60% on the Tomatometer.


On the vine: Ralph, Creed, and Hood Hope for Thanksgiving Success

(Photo by Disney)

Thanksgiving is going sequel- and reboot-heavy this year. Disney is likely to win the holiday weekend for the third straight year with Ralph Breaks the Internet, which is on its way to being Certified Fresh. Creed II is on the bubble for the same certification. Then, believe it or not, we have another Robin Hood film coming, this time with Kingsman’s Taron Egerton and Jamie Foxx. Green Book and The Front Runner will also be expanding into more theaters (though the latter has made a paltry $162,169 in two weeks) and we’ll have the first numbers for Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Favourite.


The Full Top 10: November 16-18

  1. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald – $62.3 million ($62.3 million total)
  2. The Grinch – $38.1 million ($126.5 million total)
  3. Bohemian Rhapsody – $15.7 million ($127.8 million total)
  4. Instant Family – $14.5 million ($35.2 million total)
  5. Widows – $12.3 million ($12.3 million total)
  6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms – $4.6 million ($43.8 million total)
  7. A Star Is Born – $4.3 million ($185.8 million total)
  8. Overlord – $3.8 million ($17.7 million total)
  9. The Girl In the Spider’s Web – $2.5 million ($13.2 million total)
  10. Nobody’s Fool – $2.2 million ($28.8 million total)

Erik Childress can be heard each week evaluating box office on WGN Radio with Nick Digilio as well as on Business First AM with Angela Miles and his Movie Madness Podcast.

[box office figures via Box Office Mojo]

Tag Cloud

Opinion Awards Tour Star Trek 2017 New York Comic Con cinemax TV President Musicals halloween Box Office Crackle Film Festival spinoff WarnerMedia stand-up comedy stoner ghosts Family Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt Summer Rock OWN Horror Sneak Peek joker Pet Sematary Baby Yoda IFC cancelled TV series First Reviews singing competition Film Mary Tyler Moore HBO Max Anna Paquin spider-man Britbox spy thriller SundanceTV natural history Comedy movies The CW TIFF mission: impossible Superheroes best Toys YA romance Premiere Dates zombies aliens video VH1 Showtime Amazon Prime Video DirecTV ITV Cartoon Network independent Polls and Games cats Schedule Black Mirror Pirates GLAAD versus Television Academy Sundance TV USA Calendar sequel Apple The Walking Dead San Diego Comic-Con parents mockumentary Valentine's Day true crime Hear Us Out Sundance 20th Century Fox jamie lee curtis Superheroe scary movies Winter TV Ellie Kemper revenge Mudbound Hallmark comics MCU Quiz Pop TV boxoffice mutant talk show Nominations adaptation 4/20 renewed TV shows richard e. Grant teaser political drama unscripted dc LGBTQ reviews witnail screenings Bravo sag awards E3 Pride Month TV renewals cancelled TV shows anime Trivia Year in Review Video Games Chilling Adventures of Sabrina TV Land Lifetime crime drama book Dark Horse Comics Warner Bros. TBS Marvel Christmas Thanksgiving movie PBS Disney+ Disney Plus ABC Syfy vampires Disney Channel Pixar National Geographic Freeform BBC justice league Countdown Marathons YouTube Premium diversity Writers Guild of America Election hispanic Black History Month DGA ratings romantic comedy canceled TV shows Drama free movies 71st Emmy Awards Emmys Women's History Month Acorn TV cops Creative Arts Emmys green book war Infographic TCA 2017 Travel Channel Brie Larson serial killer Tarantino Podcast Academy Awards Fall TV Action criterion Music quibi disaster 2019 Country GIFs Hallmark Christmas movies Starz Mindy Kaling OneApp Rom-Com Mystery Tumblr doctor who X-Men First Look harry potter SXSW facebook cults dark binge Best and Worst strong female leads transformers reboot Watching Series CW Seed 2020 Disney streaming service Kids & Family See It Skip It Tomatazos TCA Holiday sports CBS Comics on TV hist Mary Poppins Returns Nickelodeon Spike documentary Marvel Studios 45 Reality Competition docudrama werewolf The Purge YouTube franchise VICE Amazon Chernobyl Stephen King A24 Trophy Talk Sony Pictures A&E cartoon Peacock TCA Winter 2020 Teen 2016 DC Universe tv talk comic Ovation dogs streaming 2018 Grammys Oscars Photos 2015 television HBO Avengers what to watch south america American Society of Cinematographers Apple TV+ Super Bowl FX Walt Disney Pictures Crunchyroll name the review robots a nightmare on elm street finale Lucasfilm Discovery Channel festivals USA Network cancelled television ESPN Elton John Trailer anthology Universal PaleyFest Awards Tubi Winners TCM Character Guide based on movie CBS All Access Logo 007 directors IFC Films Certified Fresh dramedy APB indie crossover Shondaland Rocketman TNT composers Song of Ice and Fire crime thriller Fantasy FX on Hulu zero dark thirty toy story science fiction zombie rotten movies we love Holidays latino psycho Paramount Network Cosplay DC streaming service 24 frames concert Adult Swim Apple TV Plus Turner Ghostbusters RT History Food Network breaking bad TLC RT21 foreign Martial Arts thriller kids animated Heroines Cannes Endgame batman medical drama adventure nature elevated horror space CMT FXX crime spanish language comiccon series Marvel Television Star Wars casting Turner Classic Movies Vudu Disney game of thrones sitcom technology Amazon Prime slashers golden globes Red Carpet Nat Geo game show miniseries Set visit Columbia Pictures historical drama universal monsters Pop TruTV Animation WGN Musical social media Mary poppins Netflix police drama MTV Interview AMC dceu period drama 21st Century Fox Extras Epix asian-american spain ABC Family NBC Disney Plus Spring TV Sundance Now El Rey Comic Book cooking Biopics biography dragons BET The Witch Reality theme song Classic Film GoT Western CNN Esquire NYCC child's play Lifetime Christmas movies politics children's TV Hulu Fox News travel MSNBC Paramount screen actors guild E! Arrowverse Emmy Nominations discovery Binge Guide blaxploitation Masterpiece Lionsgate chucky comedies YouTube Red psychological thriller cancelled Spectrum Originals Sci-Fi Captain marvel blockbuster BBC America canceled Netflix Christmas movies History FOX die hard Amazon Studios supernatural award winner The Arrangement LGBT SDCC Shudder Rocky cars Comedy Central DC Comics christmas movies Funimation