Weekend Box Office

Weekend Box Office Results: Crimes of Grindelwald's $62 Million is Harry Potter Low

Plus, Instant Family is latest in streak of Mark Wahlbombs.

by | November 18, 2018 | Comments

Critics gave Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald the Harry Potter franchise its first Rotten movie rating. Judging by this weekend’s box office results, audiences remain relatively on board. But what will the future hold?

King of the Crop: Fantastic Beasts Wins Weekend But Signals Trouble Ahead

(Photo by Warner Bros)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald topped the box office this weekend easily, but that’s about the only domestic victory the film can claim. It can’t even boast having the best start of the 2018 holiday season so far, falling behind The Grinch’s $67.5 million last week. By the time the final estimates come out it may not even be a Top 25 November opening. (However, it’s international numbers are more than solid with a worldwide tally of $253 million just this weekend.)

The $62 million opening is the lowest in the entire Harry Potter franchise. The previous low: Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them with $74.4 million. Before that it was Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, though that posted the second-highest multiple of the series with a 3.78x.

Fantastic Beasts is scheduled to be a five-part series, and critics are bailing on just the second movie. Will audiences? Anything less than $234 million domestic (likely) equals declining territory. And less than $200 million domestic will be a major disappointment for WB. So is it the international haul that truly matters? Like the Transformers and Pirates of the Caribbean franchises, American audiences may have grown weary, but as long coffers fill overseas, we will see more of them yet.

Rotten Returns: Instant Family Continues Streak of Mark Wahlbombs

(Photo by Paramount)

Paramount got strong reviews from critics for Mark Wahlberg-starring Instant Family, but the $48 million production from Sean Anders did not have that sweet Daddy’s Home connection with Will Ferrell. Confident that audiences would be looking for a potential feel-good film for the holidays, the studio moved the film up from February into this weekend and was rewarded with just $12.5 million. Since 1990 there have been a dozen films that have started between $13.7-$15.7 million, and only three of them have reached $50 million: The Jackal (1997), Horrible Bosses 2, and Mel Gibson’s Hacksaw Ridge, which benefited from an awards run. If word-of-mouth cannot build Instant Family this will go down as the seventh straight film that Mark Wahlberg has headlined that has ended up on the losing side of its budget. Steve McQueen’s Widows seemingly is in the same boat as Instant Family with just a $12.3 million opening and $42 million budget. But as a potential awards player, there is a room for longevity.

Top Ten and Beyond: Grinch Eyes Seasonal High, No Box Office Rhapsody For Adult Fare

20th Century Fox
(Photo by © 20th Century Fox)

Illumination’s animated adaptation of The Grinch finds itself in a pretty good position, pulling ahead of The Lorax (also from Illumination) with a 10-day gross of $126.5 million. That puts The Grinch at a total end estimate in the $230-$240 million range. Meanwhile, another box office song going on: Bohemian Rhapsody, which looks to end in $170 million range. It is over $384 million worldwide to date, making the film a tremendous success for Fox.

Non-Grinch, not-Queen movies have less to sing about. With respective budgets of $38 and $43 million, Overlord and The Girl In the Spider’s Web are at a mere $17.7 and $13.2 million. The new Dragon Tattoo Story is only at $26 million worldwide. Overlord is not much better at $32 million, but it is safe to say we have have seen the last of Lisbeth Salander on the big screen. Disney and theaters are bailing fast on another overpriced failure: The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($43 million domestic, $116 million worldwide against a$120 million budget), which vanished from over 1,100 theaters in just its third weekend.

Julian Schnabel’s At Eternity’s Gate had the best per-theater-average of the weekend, with $92,000 in four theaters, though it is not much of a number to crow about. Another awards hopeful, Green Book, played 25 theaters, driving up $312k before it will expand into over 1,000 on Wednesday. For the MST3kers out there, Mystery Science Theater 3000: The Movie opened in 26 theaters to $206k. (Enjoy the new season on Netflix this Wednesday!) 

This Time Last Year: Justice Prevailed But Wonder Was The Real Winner

(Photo by Warner Bros)

This time last year, Justice League led the way with $93 million but the film was ultimately a major failure, grossing just $229 million and presenting lingering questions about the DC Universe. The true success was the performance of Wonder, the heartwarming tale starring the great Jacob Tremblay, which opened to $27 million, going on to earn $132 million domestic and over $305 million worldwide. Its 4.8x multiple was the sixth best ever for a November release opening in over 3,000 theaters, behind The Blind Side, The Polar Express, Frozen, Elf, and National Treasure.

The top 10 films last year grossed $192.8 million and averaged 59% on the Tomatometer. This year’s top 10 grossed an estimated $160.7 Million, averaging 60% on the Tomatometer.

On the vine: Ralph, Creed, and Hood Hope for Thanksgiving Success

(Photo by Disney)

Thanksgiving is going sequel- and reboot-heavy this year. Disney is likely to win the holiday weekend for the third straight year with Ralph Breaks the Internet, which is on its way to being Certified Fresh. Creed II is on the bubble for the same certification. Then, believe it or not, we have another Robin Hood film coming, this time with Kingsman’s Taron Egerton and Jamie Foxx. Green Book and The Front Runner will also be expanding into more theaters (though the latter has made a paltry $162,169 in two weeks) and we’ll have the first numbers for Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Favourite.

The Full Top 10: November 16-18

  1. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald – $62.3 million ($62.3 million total)
  2. The Grinch – $38.1 million ($126.5 million total)
  3. Bohemian Rhapsody – $15.7 million ($127.8 million total)
  4. Instant Family – $14.5 million ($35.2 million total)
  5. Widows – $12.3 million ($12.3 million total)
  6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms – $4.6 million ($43.8 million total)
  7. A Star Is Born – $4.3 million ($185.8 million total)
  8. Overlord – $3.8 million ($17.7 million total)
  9. The Girl In the Spider’s Web – $2.5 million ($13.2 million total)
  10. Nobody’s Fool – $2.2 million ($28.8 million total)

Erik Childress can be heard each week evaluating box office on WGN Radio with Nick Digilio as well as on Business First AM with Angela Miles and his Movie Madness Podcast.

[box office figures via Box Office Mojo]

Tag Cloud

Arrowverse Acorn TV binge robots book Brie Larson Amazon Prime Video Summer game show CNN christmas movies FX kids Disney+ Disney Plus Musicals San Diego Comic-Con CW Seed Horror IFC Films Mary Poppins Returns travel animated AMC CMT Mary poppins cancelled television Song of Ice and Fire sports Rom-Com Paramount Network Pirates Masterpiece First Reviews YouTube Premium ABC Action golden globes Shondaland Emmys crossover Classic Film cops Dark Horse Comics Super Bowl Columbia Pictures 71st Emmy Awards foreign American Society of Cinematographers zero dark thirty BBC Spike free movies Nominations vampires Turner Classic Movies Britbox Podcast Winter TV Red Carpet talk show See It Skip It joker Vudu cancelled Marvel Television Turner discovery YA OWN DirecTV Animation unscripted Country TV spinoff Sundance Now Premiere Dates TLC Lifetime Christmas movies disaster Crackle indie slashers cartoon quibi war CBS IFC aliens 2019 cars Hulu Hallmark YouTube Red Chilling Adventures of Sabrina cancelled TV series Disney Plus 2017 hist BET batman science fiction Lifetime Disney Disney streaming service NYCC Character Guide TV renewals Opinion theme song DC streaming service PBS Crunchyroll 007 sitcom TV Land game of thrones Tarantino National Geographic Sundance screenings Awards Tour romance independent Winners rotten movies we love technology Spring TV 21st Century Fox Certified Fresh X-Men crime thriller Cosplay VICE A24 stand-up comedy Year in Review comic 45 Nickelodeon tv talk Marvel Biopics cinemax dragons Writers Guild of America Set visit Superheroe TCA 2017 Women's History Month Pop dceu cancelled TV shows psycho Watching Series romantic comedy WGN latino Emmy Nominations finale Walt Disney Pictures WarnerMedia Lucasfilm anime A&E political drama Extras Sony Pictures Food Network renewed TV shows Warner Bros. Video Games Esquire Fall TV Marvel Studios south america Apple anthology hispanic boxoffice strong female leads blaxploitation werewolf TruTV TCM Christmas Lionsgate Holidays cats Binge Guide Television Academy crime drama Family Grammys Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt doctor who Comic Book NBC Hallmark Christmas movies The Arrangement revenge Pixar Netflix Christmas movies First Look composers MSNBC biography Trivia Teen dramedy SDCC Film Festival DC Comics facebook MCU Rocky Thanksgiving Star Wars halloween spy thriller The Witch Bravo Comedy E! RT History History Netflix Mindy Kaling FOX social media docudrama E3 Star Trek FXX ITV Box Office DGA festivals richard e. Grant HBO 2015 Syfy comiccon Musical SXSW Trailer series cooking Black Mirror Ghostbusters Shudder Holiday Universal crime Pet Sematary New York Comic Con Photos ghosts canceled TV shows award winner period drama Oscars elevated horror USA Network ABC Family Comics on TV medical drama Toys space DC Universe Nat Geo movies Elton John Comedy Central versus ESPN canceled Fantasy Freeform Starz Chernobyl Tomatazos Marathons comics Mary Tyler Moore CBS All Access Quiz Ovation spanish language Kids & Family The Purge YouTube Spectrum Originals thriller politics TNT Reality Competition Apple TV Plus Logo PaleyFest Sneak Peek SundanceTV GIFs HBO Max streaming historical drama Rock television Amazon psychological thriller 20th Century Fox Ellie Kemper dc VH1 Paramount children's TV green book LGBTQ ratings breaking bad 2016 natural history adventure sequel GLAAD blockbuster cults 2018 Western Cannes Sci-Fi Apple TV+ Schedule zombies video Awards GoT Film singing competition USA The CW Countdown justice league mockumentary Showtime transformers Mudbound Creative Arts Emmys based on movie toy story police drama APB Superheroes Martial Arts nature Disney Channel Music RT21 adaptation TIFF what to watch Captain marvel Infographic Rocketman diversity Epix true crime Cartoon Network supernatural zombie Valentine's Day Best and Worst MTV Tumblr serial killer Pride Month Amazon Prime Stephen King miniseries Mystery witnail Reality Drama Fox News BBC America Polls and Games Trophy Talk mutant spain Peacock The Walking Dead 24 frames President TBS Election jamie lee curtis Interview spider-man teaser El Rey Heroines LGBT harry potter Calendar TCA casting Adult Swim Anna Paquin