Weekend Box Office

Box Office Guru Preview: Fred Claus is Coming to Town

Lions For Lambs, P2 also opening wide.

by | November 8, 2007 | Comments

Vince Vaughn and Tom Cruise go head to head at the North American box office this weekend with their latest releases. The dodgeball champ goes for holiday laughs with Fred Claus while the top gun offers up a serious political tale in Lions For Lambs. For those looking for a scare, the horror flick P2 also attacks the multiplexes. Add in last weekend’s holdover titles and the marketplace should deliver three $20M+ grossers for the first time since mid-July.

Taming down their comedy for a family audience, the Wedding Crashers team of Vince Vaughn and director David Dobkin offer up Christmas cheer with the holiday comedy Fred Claus. The PG-rated pic features the comic actor playing the brother of Santa (Paul Giamatti). Rachel Weisz and Kathy Bates both scored a ‘with’ credit while Kevin Spacey‘s agents landed the coveted ‘and’ credit for their client. Family audiences will make up the bulk of the business but Warner Bros. is hoping to draw teens and young adults with Vaughn’s humor.

Reviews have been sour, but these types of holiday films are sold more on the comedy and the marketing. The studio is giving Claus a big jolly push and there are no major live-action options for parents to take their kids to. Bee Movie‘s second weekend will provide most of the competition, but usually two high-profile star-driven family pics can co-exist at this time of year. Debuting ultrawide in more than 3,400 theaters, Fred Claus may laugh up about $28M this weekend.


Vince Vaughn and some friends in Fred Claus

Studio boss Tom Cruise co-stars with Oscar winners Robert Redford and Meryl Streep in the new politically-themed drama Lions For Lambs from United Artists and MGM. Directed by Redford, the R-rated film examines the U.S. government’s involvement in the Middle East through three different stories. Cruise plays a hotshot senator who is interviewed by a veteran journalist, played by Streep. Redford stars as a wise college professor discussing the life with a star student. And in smaller roles, Derek Luke and Michael Peña are cast as university students determined to join the army to make this a better world.

In a smart move, Lions has downplayed its political storyline involving the Middle East as most others that have gone down that path have crashed and burned at the box office this fall. Audiences have told Hollywood on numerous occasions that they are not interested in paying top dollar for that kind of entertainment. Instead, the film is being positioned as a dramatic thriller with great acting performances almost the same way Cruise’s A Few Good Men was marketed 15 years ago. Lions will skew older than most other releases in the marketplace and will face intense competition for adults from American Gangster. Plus bad reviews will have a big impact too since the target audience plays close attention to the opinions of critics. This could very well be Tom Cruise’s lowest-grossing film in ages. Landing in 2,200 locations, Lions For Lambs might debut with around $10M.


Lions For Lambs

The horror genre discovers a new location to find fear in – the parking garage! The new suspense thriller P2 from Summit Entertainment tells of a trapped woman on Christmas Eve who faces a security guard that stalks her. The R-rated pic will appeal to the few who did not get their fill of fright flicks during October. With no starpower and only a moderate push on the marketing side, don’t expect big numbers here. Most genre fans will wait for the DVD. P2 opens in about 2,000 theaters and could debut with around $3M over the weekend.


P2

After a powerhouse debut, American Gangster should witness a sizable drop in its second frame. Good word-of-mouth and Oscar buzz will prevent the decline from being too high though. A 45% fall would give the Ridley Scott pic roughly $24M for the weekend and a rock solid ten-day cume of $80M. Kidpics usually hold up well in early November so a slim decline for Bee Movie could result. Monday’s observance of Veterans Day will see many schools close and help give Sunday a boost too. Look for Paramount to see a 30% drop to about $27M for the Jerry Seinfeld toon which would raise the total to a healthy $75M after ten days.

LAST YEAR: Moviegoers kept annoying friends with their best Kazakh impressions as Borat tripled its theatercount and remained at number one for the second week with $28.3M for Fox. Disney’s The Santa Clause 3 and Paramount’s Flushed Away enjoyed sensational holds and stayed put in their spots as well with $16.9M and $16.6M, respectively. Will Ferrell‘s Stranger Than Fiction bowed in fourth with $13.4M on its way to $40.1M for Sony. Lionsgate rounded out the top five with Saw III with $7M.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Tag Cloud

CW Seed spy thriller Watching Series Superheroes Spectrum Originals docudrama spain a nightmare on elm street Ovation Podcast Sci-Fi SDCC historical drama Academy Awards Rock Pirates Musicals binge National Geographic true crime police drama cops Spike movie ghosts finale renewed TV shows LGBTQ Star Wars RT History Acorn TV Baby Yoda game show strong female leads Starz Fantasy Martial Arts zero dark thirty Pride Month sag awards FX cancelled television what to watch Comic Book Arrowverse concert MCU History Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt Film Emmy Nominations blockbuster asian-american Logo batman Kids & Family Classic Film TBS dogs Disney Plus hist Nominations romantic comedy 2018 social media canceled TV shows Netflix Tarantino Elton John First Look TV Land Comedy Esquire blaxploitation Brie Larson Epix New York Comic Con transformers NYCC Winners Comics on TV Song of Ice and Fire harry potter Amazon Prime Video OneApp cancelled TV shows Musical Awards Tour Disney streaming service anime 20th Century Fox streaming Columbia Pictures HBO disaster Fox News TIFF Lionsgate Pop TV Lifetime Christmas movies TNT Shudder FOX Captain marvel Tumblr IFC Marvel Studios south america comics Black Mirror Chernobyl cars Box Office Reality CMT Amazon BAFTA Christmas AMC documentaries Holiday politics sequel E3 cults franchise Britbox theme song Teen stoner YA Paramount Network Animation robots Pop NBC comic RT21 television OWN discovery kids A24 Grammys LGBT dragons Netflix Christmas movies TV GIFs 4/20 Lucasfilm christmas movies PBS crime thriller scary movies talk show First Reviews psycho Nat Geo Apple 2016 TCA Disney+ Disney Plus Universal APB The CW YouTube Red comiccon green book Apple TV Plus Avengers Stephen King screenings facebook Nickelodeon PlayStation all-time Bravo dark HBO Go ratings dceu Summer Amazon Prime San Diego Comic-Con CNN diversity Quiz ITV 2015 Drama biography CBS All Access cats Trailer medical drama Interview Endgame natural history foreign Superheroe Schedule Marvel Television elevated horror sports sitcom space TruTV 71st Emmy Awards Red Carpet Crunchyroll Showtime Star Trek Sony Pictures VH1 video Disney Channel Tubi Emmys TCA 2017 Rom-Com DC streaming service Sundance TV Black History Month slashers Shondaland justice league Food Network revenge films Marvel Ghostbusters The Purge DGA Vudu screen actors guild BET Awards BBC America YouTube Premium adventure Toys directors Warner Bros. FX on Hulu DirecTV Film Festival Amazon Studios period drama Pet Sematary Comedy Central teaser American Society of Cinematographers Syfy Thanksgiving Sundance Countdown Extras BBC One video on demand mutant ABC Family comedies cancelled Trivia USA President technology Reality Competition IFC Films indie 2019 Sundance Now TLC independent Crackle Adult Swim Holidays Action Country Pixar HBO Max toy story Premiere Dates SXSW golden globes Cosplay Best and Worst Turner latino based on movie Turner Classic Movies Super Bowl composers indiana jones joker news spanish language Binge Guide TCA Winter 2020 Cannes jamie lee curtis ESPN Valentine's Day Dark Horse Comics documentary crime drama Video Games spinoff Mudbound Calendar rotten movies we love Rocky Horror Rocketman VICE CBS Trophy Talk richard e. Grant Western doctor who PaleyFest witnail science fiction Tomatazos GLAAD casting Apple TV+ serial killer cartoon Travel Channel Chilling Adventures of Sabrina award winner thriller zombie miniseries universal monsters Cartoon Network travel Sneak Peek war vampires cinemax Election The Walking Dead Photos 2020 2017 stand-up comedy reviews Set visit canceled cancelled TV series Masterpiece anthology VOD Spring TV crime best quibi Music dc DC Universe reboot spider-man parents Mary poppins Mary Poppins Returns breaking bad Paramount MSNBC Family Character Guide zombies Anna Paquin nature DC Comics FXX hispanic ABC Funimation Heroines Disney tv talk Fall TV romance children's TV free movies Walt Disney Pictures singing competition versus El Rey mockumentary mission: impossible Oscars boxoffice child's play Infographic YouTube Winter TV criterion halloween See It Skip It Creative Arts Emmys Hallmark Television Academy werewolf Awards Marathons Freeform chucky Ellie Kemper Year in Review The Arrangement 007 game of thrones 24 frames adaptation Opinion psychological thriller book USA Network MTV Lifetime Hear Us Out Discovery Channel BBC movies Hulu Mindy Kaling Women's History Month Mary Tyler Moore Polls and Games 45 Hallmark Christmas movies A&E BET dramedy Certified Fresh Mystery 21st Century Fox animated aliens Peacock name the review political drama Writers Guild of America X-Men twilight E! TV renewals TCM SundanceTV crossover satire cooking series WarnerMedia Biopics festivals unscripted critics die hard The Witch supernatural GoT WGN