Weekend Box Office: Toy Story 5 Holds off Supergirl
The DC superhero was no match for Jessie, Buzz, and Woody as Craig Gillespie's space adventure came in well below expectations.
The DC Universe is not in a good place right now. Two films into the reboot, the debut failed to hit the top six of the DCEU and now its second film could flirt with being its lowest non-pandemic release among the two official universes. On the bright side, the box office is about to get its third $300 million grosser of the year and its 13th $100 million grosser, with a 14th coming by next weekend and a 15th to follow soon after. It remains to be seen whether or not Supergirl joins that club.
King of the Crop: Toy Story 5 Easily Holds on to No. 1
Supergirl could not stop Jessie and her band of merry toys this weekend as Toy Story 5 led the way for a second straight week with $70 million. The 56.2% drop brings its total to $297.2 million, ranking 18th for 10-day releases. Incredibles 2, the only animated film with a higher opening weekend, also dropped 56.0% in its second weekend to $80.3 million. Only five films (out of 44) have grossed $250 million in their first 10 days and failed to reach $400 million. They were Batman v Superman, Wicked: For Good, Furious 7, Jurassic World: Dominion, and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2. The latter is the only film over $275 million at this point to not join the $400 million group.
Toy Story 5’s sophomore weekend is in the vicinity of Finding Dory ($72.9 million), Captain America: Civil War ($72.6 million), and Iron Man 3 ($72.5 million). The Marvel films took bigger dips over time, and if upcoming family films Minions & Monsters and Moana cut into TS5’s numbers, it could be looking at the lower end of the $400 million spectrum. But if they look more like Dory’s numbers, we could be talking $460-480 million domestic. It is currently $11 million ahead of Dory’s pace. A lot more will be told next week, but there may be plenty of July 4th dollars to go around. Globally the film is at $585 million.
Rotten Returns: Supergirl Suffers Less than Heroic Debut
DC cannot be feeling great right now. The newly rebooted DC Universe kicked off last year with James Gunn’s Superman, which did well enough, but hardly earned the kind of gangbuster numbers associated with Marvel or even certain films in the DCEU, like Aquaman, Wonder Woman, or even Zack Snyder’s Superman films. Man of Steel made over $668 million worldwide back in 2013, while Gunn’s topped out at $618 million. Watching that previous Universe fizzle out led to the full restart spearheaded by the director who helped turn the lesser known Guardians of the Galaxy into a $2.5 billion trilogy of films.
Craig Gillespie got his turn in the comic book universe with Supergirl, and it opened to just 30% of last year’s Superman opening with $38 million. This could be giving some at DC and WB flashbacks to The Flash, which opened to $55 million and couldn’t even double that, finishing with only $108.1 million domestic. The $170 million production of Supergirl didn’t open quite as poorly as Masters of the Universe did this month. However, it is much closer to that and Shazam! Fury of the Gods than even Black Adam, and word-of-mouth on the film, which scored 56% on the Tomatometer, is not expected to be good.
There has not been a movie that opened on the final full weekend of June to under $50 million and grossed $200 million since Tim Burton’s Batman back in 1989. That was also the only film to do that in that specific release slot. Batman Begins opened to $48.7 million on June 15, 2005 and crossed $205 million. The only other June releases to pull that off were a few little films like Jurassic Park and The Lion King in the ‘90s and then Ratatouille and The Hangover in 2007 and 2009. It has been just slightly better than a 50/50 proposition to hit $150 million in June with a $40-50 million opening, and only three of the 12 since 2010 have achieved that — and two of them were animated sequels (How To Train Your Dragon 2, The Secret Life of Pets 2). The Heat, Elvis, and Elemental opened to less than $40 million and passed $150 million, but that’s it, and honestly, what are we even talking about here, as there may be some worry about Supergirl even hitting $100 million.
Gillespie’s film is unlikely to Wonder Woman its way to nearly four times its opening weekend. But the July 4th holiday is nearly upon us, and that may be its saving grace to at least hit nine digits domestically. The only late June releases to open over $25 million and not hit $100 million were Ted 2, A.I., and Madea’s Witness Protection. All opened lower than Supergirl, so it would take quite the failing to join that list. Its global total currently stands at $68 million. The DCU now has Clayface to potentially save face from this direction just three films into the reboot, with the Superman sequel Man of Tomorrow on tap for July 2027. But will that film show a clamoring for the continuing adventures of Gunn’s version of the hero, or will further disinterest seep into the experiment just as Marvel is having a bit of a resurgence with event films?
In the same vein, poor, poor He-Man. You can clock over 280 films that have had a budget (not counting inflation) of $150 million or more. (Add one more with Supergirl.) Masters of the Universe’s budget has been reported somewhere from $170-200 million. The lowest-grossing films globally with a budget that high are as follows:
Mars Needs Moms ($38.9 million)
The 13th Warrior ($61.6 million)
Argylle ($96.2 million)
Masters of the Universe ($106.6+ million)
Haunted Mansion (2023) ($117.4 million)
Pan ($128.3 million)
The Wolfman ($139.7 million)
Tron: Ares ($142.2 million)
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword ($148.6 million)
47 Ronin ($150.9 million)
Elio ($154.0 million)
Killers of the Flower Moon ($154.2 million)
The Matrix Resurrections* ($157.3 million)
Space Jam: A New Legacy* ($163.6 million)
Speed 2: Cruise Control ($164.5 million)
Wonder Woman 1984* ($166.8 million)
Alexander ($167.2 million)
The Suicide Squad* ($168.7 million)
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga ($168.0 million)
Meet the Robinsons ($169.3 million)
Evan Almighty ($173.4 million)
Cowboys & Aliens ($174.8 million)
The Fall Guy ($178.0 million)
Poseidon ($181.6 million)
Jupiter Ascending ($183.8 million)
Hugo ($185.7 million)
Red One ($185.9 million)
Beowulf ($196.3 million)
Jack the Giant Slayer ($197.6 million)
Pandemic releases(*) aside, that is a list of now 29 films you do not want to be on. (Supergirl could make it 30.) Travis Knight’s film made $2.2 million in just its fourth week of release and has made just $61.9 million on the domestic side. The Eternia universe just has not resonated with the international crowd. Only three films on that list managed to gross less than $60 million outside of North America. Masters has made just $45+ million overseas to date.
Tales of the Top 10: Obsession Continues to Defy Odds, Jackass Opens Quietly
Among all the highlights Obsession has had on its box office journey (and there are many), one of them has been to not ever fall more than 30% from week to week. That streak continues with a 27% drop in weekend seven to $9.8 million. That makes for a 45-day total of $233.9 million. As of last Tuesday, Obsession officially passed The Devil Wears Prada 2 to assume the role of the highest-grossing film of the summer. Let that settle in for a second. Even though the title was short-lived thanks to Toy Story 5, Curry Barker’s film wore the crown after Tuesday and Wednesday.
There are likely only four other films this summer, apart from Toy Story 5, that will outgross it. We’re looking at somewhere between $260-275 million domestic right now, and $400 million globally is coming as well. (It is at $370 million as we speak.) Obsession is also currently the fourth-highest grossing film ever to never reach No. 1 at the box office, behind Oppenheimer, Sing, and My Big Fat Greek Wedding, while being ahead of Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel, Alvin and the Chipmunks, A Star Is Born, Sherlock Holmes, World War Z, Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning, and Interstellar.
If you were watching MTV around 2000-01 and someone told you that those guys doing crazy stunts, throwing up, and getting hit in the crotch would manifest into a series of films that would gross over half a billion globally, you may have thought they had a concussion. The release of Jackass: Best and Last gave the franchise a shot. Not taking into account the branded Bad Grandpa or the Jackass-adjacent feature Action Point, the Jackass films have grossed over $416 million worldwide going into this weekend.
Jackass: The Movie opened to $22.7 million in October 2002 and made $64.2 million on the domestic end. Jackass: Number Two opened in 2006 to $29 million and finished with $72.7 million. They took it up a notch with Jackass 3-D in 2010, nearly matching the combined openings of the first two films with $50.3 million and a finish if $117.2 million. It took 12 more years for Jackass Forever, which had another solid $23.1 million start in 2022 but a franchise-low $57.7 million (with only a $10 million budget). Best and Last’s disappointing $8.4 million opening may have shuttered its chances to become a half-billion dollar franchise. Their 3-D film was the only one to gross more than $23 million internationally, and the new one made just $1.9 million this weekend. But we are still talking over $425 million in grosses over five budgets combined of $56.5 million. What a run.
Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day fell another 54% in its third weekend to $8.1 million. That makes for a 17-day haul of $94.3 million, which lines up appropriately enough with Independence Day: Resurgence, which had a $7.77 million third weekend and $91.5 million in the bank. Minority Report was at $12.5 million in weekend three and $97.1 million. These numbers put Disclosure Day on a course for $105-115 million domestic. That would make it the third-highest wholly original film of 2026 after Obsession and Hoppers. Globally the film has passed $193 million.
Another of the great indie success stories of the year is Kane Parsons’ Backrooms, which would love to hit that $200 million milestone. After $4.3 million this weekend, its domestic total is at $184.1 million, and the numbers still favor it just squeaking over. Backrooms is wedged right now between the paces of Superman Returns and World War Z, which would put it around $200-202 million. Superman Returns was at $183 million after 31 days and a $3.7 million fifth weekend. Stay above those numbers and you can make a little history, Kane. It would also give A24 their first $200 million domestic grosser. Worldwide the film is over $307 million.
Following up on last week’s mention of Scary Movie taking its time to get to $100 million, the answer turned out to be 21 days. That ties it with Watchmen for second place on films opening with over $50 million, while Paranormal Activity 3 remains the leader with a full 23 days. Frontloading plus less than charitable word-of-mouth can turn into big decreases, but Scary Movie is still earning profit with every buck, including $3 million more this weekend. That brings its 24-day total to $103.5 million, and it is headed to around $110 million domestic and over $225 million worldwide. The lowest-rated film by critics (23%) launched into over 3,000 theaters this year is nevertheless one of the year’s biggest successes.
The Bleach anime ran for 366 episodes between 2004-2012 including on Adult Swim. Fans never got a conclusion until now, as Fathom Entertainment released BLEACH: Thousand-Year Blood War – The Calamity in 943 theaters. It earned an estimated $3 million. Finally, The Mandalorian and Grogu are getting their last mention in the top 10 this week. They will join Solo and (surprisingly) The Last Jedi in the Star Wars galaxy as the only films to have spent just six weeks in the top 10. Attack of the Clones spent seven, and then there were eight weeks for both Rogue One and The Rise of Skywalker. $1.6 million in weekend six brings the total for Jon Favreau’s film to $175.2 million, right within our estimates, as the word has been out that this was going to be the lowest-grossing live-action Star Wars film of the lot. It has made just $325+ million worldwide to date.
Beyond the Top 10: The Invite Posts Strong Debut, Michael Sets a New Record
A24 owns the top two per-theater averages of the year with The Moment ($106,985) and Pillion ($60,442), which opened in four theaters each. They now have the fifth best of the year as well with Olivia Wilde’s The Invite, which opened in seven theaters this weekend and grossed an estimated $379,000 for a PTA of $54,158. Platformed films with high PTAs this year have not exactly translated to successful wider launches. No film in 2026 opening in single-digit theaters has hit $4 million yet. That will hopefully change for The Invite, which will go wider starting next weekend. A24’s release of The Death of Robin Hood last week fell to $588,000 for a total of $4.7 million, not much better than the platform releases.
Neon is probably still wishing they got Leviticus out to more theaters. It may not have been the next Obsession or Backrooms, but there may have been another $10 million or so in the making for it. Alas, in its second weekend, it made just another $929,000 in 965 theaters, bringing the total for Adrian Chiarella’s film to $5.3 million. That ranks it 19th among Neon releases since their inception in 2017. If it were 2022, Leviticus would have been their sixth-highest grosser (their Oscar-winning Parasite was still No. 1 then) but they have certainly come a long way in the past four years.
Finally, Lionsgate’s Michael made $905,000 to bring its domestic total to over $370 million. Worldwide the film is over $977 million, which also now makes it the highest-grossing biopic (musical or otherwise) ever as it surpasses previous record-holder Oppenheimer’s $975.8 million.
On The Vine: Minions & Monsters Battle Young Washington for July 4th Dominance
The July 4th holiday next week will be invaded by Minions & Monsters. The seventh film in the Despicable Me/Minions universe will face off against Toy Story 5 but should add another healthy total that should take the series over the $6 billion mark worldwide. Young Washington is not based on the great Brad Neely animated short, but it is the latest from Angel Studios and director Jon Erwin (I Can Only Imagine, Jesus Revolution) about the man who would become the first President of the United States.
Full List of Box Office Results: June 26-28
- Toy Story 5 – $70.0 million ($297.2 million total)
- Supergirl – $38.0 million ($38.0 million total)
- Obsession – $9.8 million ($233.9 million total)
- Jackass: Best and Last – $8.4 million ($8.4 million total)
- Disclosure Day – $8.1 million ($94.3 million total)
- Backrooms – $4.3 million ($184.1 million total)
- Scary Movie – $3.0 million ($103.5 million total)
- BLEACH: Thousand-Year Blood War – The Calamity – $3.0 million ($3.0 million total)
- Masters of the Universe – $2.2 million ($61.9 million total)
- Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu – $1.6 million ($175.2 million total)
Erik Childress can be heard each week evaluating box office on Business First AM with Angela Miles and his Movie Madness Podcast. [box office figures via Box Office Mojo]
Thumbnail image by Disney/Pixar
