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Film Critics Predict La La Land Will Win Best Picture at the Oscars

We surveyed hundreds of critics across the country for their Oscar predictions. Here's what they told us.

by | January 26, 2017 | Comments

Critics-Oscar-Survey-2016

This past December, Rotten Tomatoes polled hundreds of critics across the country to forecast which movies will reign supreme at the Academy Awards on February 26, 2017.

The honors were distributed relatively evenly among the contenders, with La La Land expected to win Best Picture, even though the majority of critics voted that Moonlight deserved to win the top honor. La La Land director Damien Chazelle is predicted to take home the award for Best Director. In the supporting categories, Mahershala Ali is thought to win Best Supporting Actor for Moonlight, and Viola Davis Best Supporting Actress for her turn in Fences. The critics also predicted Casey Affleck to win Best Actor for Manchester by the Sea, and Natalie Portman to win Best Actress for her role in Jackie.

According to our Editor in Chief, Matt Atchity, “Predicting the Oscars means you’re predicting how the Academy voters will respond to films, so it’s easy to understand why critics are predicting that La La Land will win Best Picture. This throwback-style musical about chasing creative dreams has many critics convinced that Academy voters will have a very personal reaction to the film, even though most critics think another awards contender, Moonlight, is actually the more deserving film.”

See the full results of the survey below.


Which film will win Best Picture?
1. La La Land – 67%
2. Moonlight – 11%
3. Manchester by the Sea – 9% 
Which film should win Best Picture?
1. Moonlight – 28%
2. La La Land – 20%
3. Manchester by the Sea – 14%
Who do you think will win Best Director?
1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land – 52%
2. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight – 22%
3. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea – 8% 
Who do you think will win Best Actor?
1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 65%
2. Denzel Washington, Fences – 18%
3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land – 5%
Who do you think will win Best Actress?
1. Natalie Portman, Jackie – 39%
2. Emma Stone, La La Land – 29%
3. Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 9%
Who do you think will win Best Supporting Actor?
1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 55%
2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water – 12%
3. Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals – 11%
Who do you think will win Best Supporting Actress?
1. Viola Davis, Fences – 52%
2. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea – 23%
3. Naomie Harris, Moonlight – 7%
What do you think will win Best Animated Film?
1. Zootopia – 49%
2. Moana – 19%
3. Kubo and the Two Strings – 18%
What do you think will win Best Documentary?
1. O.J. Made in America – 53%
2. 13th  17%