Box Office Guru Preview: Punisher Heads Into Weak Frame

Also: Cadillac Records opens in limited release.

by | December 4, 2008 | Comments

Following the Thanksgiving holiday frame, the North American box office should hit the brakes and see sharp declines in ticket sales. The action offering Punisher: War Zone is the only major film going into true wide release which means most of the top five should look familiar. Also opening nationally but in a more limited run is the music industry pic Cadillac Records which will try to make its way into the top ten. Leftovers from turkey weekend like Four Christmases, Bolt, and Twilight should remain among the most popular titles at the multiplexes as the marketplace takes a breather before a new wave of holiday films hits next Friday.

Lionsgate unleashes an action sequel aimed at young men for the second time in as many weeks with Punisher: War Zone which follows up on The Punisher which was released in 2004 back when the distributor went by the name Lions Gate. That film starred Thomas Jane and John Travolta, opened to $13.8M, and found its way to a respectable $33.7M. This time, Ray Stevenson picks up the title role and fans will be asked to disregard the swapping of actors and to come out and buy a ticket because of the brand name.

The R rating may cut out those 14-year-old boys, but it will give young males some bang at a time when there are no R-rated actioners for this audience. Lionsgate’s PG-13 pic Transporter 3 should fall hard in its sophomore session, but it will still provide some direct competition. Ticket buyers haven’t exactly been craving a new vigilante flick from this punishing series so business may come from frequent moviegoers who just don’t have anything else to do or see. Debuting in 2,508 locations, Punisher: War Zone might gross about $9M this weekend.

Ray Stevenson in Punisher: War Zone

Sony quietly enters the marketplace with Cadillac Records, a drama revisiting the rise of the blues music scene. The R-rated film stars Adrien Brody, Jeffrey Wright, and Beyonce Knowles who also executive produces her first feature. The marketing push has not been strong, the subject matter is not too appealing, and the starpower is questionable for this type of project. The studio knows that it doesn’t have a hit on its hands so it may be cutting its losses. Reviews have been decent, but not compelling enough to mobilize large crowds. Landing in just 600 or so theaters, Cadillac Records may end up with a mere $2M this weekend.

Mos Def as Chuck Berry in Cadillac Records

Over the last three years, the Top 20 on the weekend after the Thanksgiving holiday frame fell by 43% to 48%. With moviegoers cutting back on spending after last weekend’s big feast, and a lack of interesting new releases, another sizable fall is likely this time. That could pave the way for a second win by the incumbent comedy hit Four Christmases. Yuletide-themed films often hold up well on the weekend after the turkey session so the sophomore drop for Warner Bros. could be about 50%. That would give the Vince VaughnReese Witherspoon film around $15.5M for the weekend and a ten-day tally of $67M.

Disney’s Bolt is still the only major kidpic out there and the 3D theaters continue to give families a unique experience not found at home. This one may also drop by half to roughly $13M putting the 17-day sum at $83M. A harsher fall may await the not-so-bloody vampire flick Twilight. Look for the Summit release to fall by 55% to around $12M which would up the cume to $136M after 17 days. Sony’s Quantum of Solace should remain in the top five and drop by 50% to $9.5M for a $154M total to date.

LAST YEAR: Nicole Kidman found her way into the number one spot with the fantasy adventure The Golden Compass which was the only new wide release of the frame. Bowing to $25.8M, the New Line film didn’t exactly blow away expectations however it was a monster hit in most other parts of the world. Compass went on to gross just $69.9M domestically but $372M worldwide with North America accounting for a slim 19% of the global tally. The rest of the top five included Enchanted with $10.7M, This Christmas with $5M, Fred Claus with $4.6M, and Beowulf with $4.5M. Debuting with sizzling results in limited release were Atonement with a $24,901 average from 32 theaters and Juno with a $59,124 average from just 7 sites. Both would go on to win Oscars.

Author: Gitesh Pandya,

Tag Cloud

game show discovery New York Comic Con facebook italian Musicals Turner hist superhero Elton John psycho Christmas CBS Mary poppins 2017 Funimation E3 casting streaming movies gangster popular blockbuster Apple TV+ Hallmark heist movie Set visit what to watch Hear Us Out boxoffice festivals Crunchyroll OWN Starz animated Martial Arts Broadway prank Holiday TCA 2017 Comedy spinoff comic book movies japanese rotten dogs Image Comics Comic Book Film Festival medical drama slashers name the review kaiju The Witch Crackle VH1 miniseries justice league Character Guide TLC documentary SXSW Bravo Pet Sematary Amazon Prime Video Infographic Television Academy dceu news Paramount Plus Trophy Talk VICE Captain marvel crime toy story pirates of the caribbean ESPN TV movies movie GIFs Peacock politics nfl suspense know your critic The Walt Disney Company Lucasfilm sequels A&E 2018 Spike Drama Tubi MTV Red Carpet binge Trailer diversity DC streaming service Cartoon Network Country marvel comics halloween Disney ABC Family critics saw History archives Disney+ Disney Plus FXX Marvel Television cancelled TV series venice franchise transformers Apple die hard live action 2020 hispanic science fiction 2019 45 72 Emmy Awards docuseries aliens worst movies criterion new star wars movies Mindy Kaling BBC America zero dark thirty Mudbound reviews latino Comic-Con@Home 2021 NBA PaleyFest LGBTQ cars X-Men Anna Paquin hidden camera ViacomCBS obituary President See It Skip It king kong IFC cancelled television Sneak Peek cults SDCC Pirates spain vampires cancelled rt labs TCA Awards zombie period drama TIFF all-time HBO Max nature Pride Month canceled Ellie Kemper scorecard YouTube Marvel FX scene in color FOX Freeform golden globes Rocky Toys Spring TV Disney Plus cinemax Musical Travel Channel romantic comedy Mystery Awards basketball Reality comic books elevated horror unscripted ITV Arrowverse Adult Swim Music award winner Fox Searchlight Mary Poppins Returns Hallmark Christmas movies BET Netflix young adult El Rey Rock NYCC screenings Reality Competition RT21 theme song adaptation television Sony Pictures Countdown james bond spanish telelvision 1990s Marathons Video Games PBS composers based on movie Endgame dc Netflix Christmas movies crossover Showtime BBC One TruTV Britbox witnail Turner Classic Movies tv talk HBO Go TNT black mcc marvel cinematic universe crime drama parents Logo VOD YouTube Premium Winter TV jamie lee curtis docudrama emmy awards Best and Worst DGA Food Network talk show Chilling Adventures of Sabrina concert blockbusters Fantasy aapi revenge chucky Nickelodeon Legendary TCA Winter 2020 mutant Superheroe Election adventure screen actors guild Lionsgate Creative Arts Emmys best zombies Sci-Fi 2016 laika book adaptation Pop rotten movies we love 007 Comics on TV CNN Super Bowl The Purge Nat Geo Awards Tour posters historical drama deadpool CW Seed Pacific Islander razzies Paramount action-comedy mockumentary boxing remakes legend Walt Disney Pictures kong LGBT cops IFC Films space 99% scary movies Discovery Channel Extras Esquire anime ABC quibi streaming ABC Signature The Arrangement Photos Holidays Spectrum Originals kids TBS Shondaland Premiere Dates football USA Network fresh First Look disaster rom-coms Exclusive Video Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt Binge Guide indie slasher GLAAD San Diego Comic-Con Calendar spy thriller social media series harry potter spanish language feel good CBS All Access Cosplay teaser fast and furious documentaries 4/20 sitcom breaking bad Classic Film TV serial killer American Society of Cinematographers Song of Ice and Fire Emmy Nominations comics game of thrones Teen Black Mirror Disney streaming service foreign Columbia Pictures Polls and Games video on demand sag awards Horror anthology Vudu 2015 GoT DC Comics Podcast BBC political drama RT History DC Universe A24 spider-man Tumblr films OneApp travel supernatural werewolf Tomatazos international indiana jones ID CMT Film TV renewals Brie Larson doctor who Summer book Women's History Month crime thriller christmas movies halloween tv sports Dark Horse Comics PlayStation Valentine's Day SundanceTV WGN Family classics monster movies Baby Yoda Sundance Now strong female leads singing competition WarnerMedia new york versus Star Trek Wes Anderson E! Pop TV green book Lifetime Christmas movies nbcuniversal Star Wars wonder woman satire universal monsters Warner Bros. Syfy godzilla Certified Fresh king arthur Cannes stoner Action dramedy joker thriller 2021 Ghostbusters asian-american renewed TV shows Black History Month Emmys National Geographic superman japan The Academy canceled TV shows dark Hulu independent Television Critics Association stand-up comedy comiccon Universal trailers Comedy Central 93rd Oscars sequel high school romance lord of the rings Tokyo Olympics new zealand free movies Fox News reboot directors debate Stephen King BAFTA a nightmare on elm street Grammys Year in Review Western HBO Rocketman australia Avengers TV Land Lifetime cats rt archives Marvel Studios dexter USA 20th Century Fox Interview Oscars Apple TV Plus south america Epix adenture comic batman Masterpiece BET Awards target Superheroes The Walking Dead twilight comedies toronto TCM Opinion Sundance festival natural history First Reviews Kids & Family Fall TV hollywood technology Disney Channel rt labs critics edition TV One AMC Biopics Writers Guild of America richard e. Grant FX on Hulu cooking 90s video 71st Emmy Awards Mary Tyler Moore true crime royal family hispanic heritage month 21st Century Fox jurassic park mission: impossible Thanksgiving YouTube Red stop motion Tarantino finale Winners ratings Paramount Network Shudder children's TV Ovation NBC DirecTV TCA Box Office comic book movie Watching Series 73rd Emmy Awards Amazon cancelled TV shows Alien biopic 24 frames women Academy Awards Chernobyl child's play ghosts olympics psychological thriller movies golden globe awards Trivia The CW Sundance TV cartoon Acorn TV Schedule APB biography critic resources war YA Pixar Heroines robots MCU worst Amazon Prime Nominations MSNBC dragons french Rom-Com blaxploitation police drama Amazon Studios 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards Quiz Animation