Box Office Guru Preview: Clooney Suits Up For Football Fun

Nim's Island, The Ruins, Shine A Light also opening.

by | April 3, 2008 | Comments

George Clooney, the Mayor McCheese of Hollywood, leaves behind Oscar season and returns to the big screen with lighter fare with the period sports comedy Leatherheads. The PG-13 pic also stars Renee Zellweger and John Krasinski while the former Caped Crusader directs. Given the story of the origins of football in the 1920’s, turnout should come mostly from older adults although The Office star is being counted on to pull in some younger moviegoers. In Los Angeles, Clooney is a God. But the other 99% of the U.S. population doesn’t necessarily bow down to him (unless pals Brad and Matt are along for the ride). Michael Clayton, which creatively was one of the actor’s best films, only managed $10.4M in ticket sales during its first wide weekend. And it was backed by plenty of Oscar buzz and glowing reviews.

Reviews for Leatherheads have been lukewarm at best which spells bad news since the target audience will be reading up on the opinions of critics and taking their warnings. Plus Zellweger is no A-lister when it comes to drawing in paying audiences. Add in a period setting that will turn many off and you’ve got a spring film that will have to work hard for the money. To its credit, Universal has backed the title with a solid marketing push doing what it can to generate excitement and the current top five will not provide too much direct competition. But a lack of momentum in the current marketplace will also have a negative effect on all films. Rushing into 2,778 theaters, Leatherheads may take in around $15M this weekend.


John Krasinski in Leatherheads

A young girl’s imagination is at the heart of Nim’s Island, the new kid adventure from Fox Walden. Abigail Breslin stars as the title character in the PG-rated tale while Jodie Foster and 300‘s Gerard Butler co-star. The family audience is the target here with sales likely to skew more towards girls than boys. The lack of male appeal could turn out to be a major liability. Foster usually brings plenty of starpower with her, but this is not the type of role her core fans will be all that excited about. This isn’t a single-woman-fighting-male-oppressors movie. Competition will come from Fox’s own Horton Hears A Who, but Nim‘s trailers in front of the Seuss toon over the last three weeks have also raised awareness with the same crowd. So consider that a wash. Overall buzz is not too high so despite the very wide launch, potent numbers are not likely. Opening in 3,511 sites, Nim’s Island could debut to about $14M.


Abigail Breslin in Nim’s Island

Paramount gives horror fans a new offering with The Ruins which finds a group of young Americans in Cancun discovering terror. The year’s first fright flick to not be a remake of an Asian horror hit carries an R rating which will hurt its chances with younger teens. Overall interest is not very high and a lack of starpower won’t help its cause much. The film should appeal to the same folks who bought tickets to The Descent and Turistas. Both lacked star names and underperformed with openings of $8.9M and $3.6M respectively. The Ruins opens in over 2,500 theaters and should fall into the same range. Look for a $8M debut.


The Ruins

The Rolling Stones and Martin Scorsese join forces for the year’s third major concert film with Shine A Light. The PG-13 pic covers an intimate New York concert given by the supergroup with the Oscar-winning director orchestrating a team of A-list cinematographers to capture all the magic. Paramount Classics is rolling out the film in limited release with about 270 total theaters including 93 Imax sites making it the widest launch ever for the large-screen format. Marketing materials have been highlighting the starpower of all the popular senior citizens involved here in a effort to tap into older adults and rock music fans. Hannah Montana and U2 found success earlier this year with their concert pics and the higher-priced Imax tickets will help to beef up the averages. Shine A Light could rock to around $2M this weekend.


Scorsese and The Stones in Shine a Light

Only two holdovers will be able to post double-digit millions this weekend. 21 got off to a great start last week and will not see too much of its teen and young adult audience taken away since Leatherheads will skew older and Nim will play younger. Still a moderate 45% drop is in order which would put the blackjack drama at about $13M for a ten-day tally of $45M.

Fox’s animated blockbuster Horton Hears A Who will find its competition coming from the studio’s own new Jodie Foster adventure. But the Dr. Seuss comedy has been holding up well so a 30% fall to $12.5M could result. That would up the cume to a robust $134M.

Superhero Movie stumbled out of the gate last weekend and is not likely to have legs. A 45% drop would give The Weinstein Company roughly $5M and a sum of $17M after ten days.

LAST YEAR: With Easter falling on the first weekend of April, the box office was vibrant thanks to a pair of solid sophomores and a slate of new releases. Will Ferrell‘s skating comedy Blades of Glory spent a second frame on top with $22.5M while the Disney toon Meet the Robinsons held onto second with $16.7M. Leading the newcomers was the Ice Cube sequel Are We Done Yet? with $14.3M on its way to $49.7M for Sony. Opening in fourth was the two-for-one special Grindhouse with $11.6M followed by the new supernatural thriller The Reaping which bowed to $10M. Final grosses reached $25M and $25.1M, respectively. Failing to excite family audiences was Firehouse Dog which debuted in tenth with just $3.8M leading to a weak $13.9M final.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Tag Cloud

Discovery Channel Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt Reality Competition OWN BET Awards Marvel DGA TCA 2017 MTV crime name the review Avengers Song of Ice and Fire Superheroes Brie Larson tv talk transformers Lifetime Christmas movies Dark Horse Comics Endgame dragons crossover independent PaleyFest composers Trailer comiccon The Purge theme song Comedy supernatural psychological thriller The Arrangement spain Premiere Dates San Diego Comic-Con Music BBC America CBS adventure 20th Century Fox reboot AMC YouTube Apple TV+ BBC One 21st Century Fox Election 4/20 Winners anime breaking bad space Logo Mary Tyler Moore X-Men comics CMT diversity Travel Channel animated TCA cinemax HBO true crime Superheroe dark Animation IFC Films SXSW E3 BAFTA Nominations latino The Walking Dead indie 24 frames free movies First Reviews BET Mystery Tomatazos doctor who Valentine's Day 2020 History Video Games Classic Film Comics on TV 2017 Calendar SundanceTV Columbia Pictures 71st Emmy Awards unscripted Countdown Toys Captain marvel Sundance TV A&E Cartoon Network sag awards Fox News police drama chucky YouTube Premium Horror asian-american Bravo Mary Poppins Returns franchise Star Trek LGBT Universal Elton John christmas movies talk show Mindy Kaling justice league Vudu cancelled television Martial Arts PBS boxoffice slashers kids Lionsgate cooking Pirates Musicals Star Wars Paramount Network concert cancelled TV shows TruTV Disney Channel scary movies Starz cars 007 ratings Pop TV Teen thriller miniseries werewolf series witnail discovery E! ITV Television Critics Association Netflix First Look sports political drama Women's History Month a nightmare on elm street satire Shudder Best and Worst Hallmark NYCC TCA Awards teaser hispanic CNN Rock Emmys Sony Pictures Oscars vampires See It Skip It IFC Cosplay Certified Fresh spanish language aliens halloween biography cancelled based on movie Sundance Now Crackle zombies VOD elevated horror Holidays Hear Us Out TV renewals universal monsters OneApp Ghostbusters Rom-Com YouTube Red Sundance USA Marathons Film video renewed TV shows Writers Guild of America Peacock romance facebook sitcom twilight rotten movies we love psycho Black History Month Crunchyroll Thanksgiving medical drama New York Comic Con Christmas ABC Lifetime Family Hallmark Christmas movies ESPN stoner NBC robots Super Bowl zero dark thirty Podcast Ovation DC Universe Mudbound Grammys Disney game of thrones parents Baby Yoda dceu dogs documentary Lucasfilm documentaries Arrowverse spinoff Turner Classic Movies Holiday Trophy Talk PlayStation emmy awards Polls and Games Showtime Kids & Family SDCC Academy Awards Fall TV romantic comedy FXX Hulu Epix finale screen actors guild WarnerMedia The CW Chernobyl GIFs comedies green book USA Network Apple TV Plus richard e. Grant best Comic Book Extras Warner Bros. strong female leads Amazon Prime Video Pixar DC streaming service Year in Review Ellie Kemper quibi Heroines BBC Amazon Quiz Britbox dc children's TV travel Interview movies politics comic Rocketman batman Masterpiece Turner historical drama Black Mirror all-time Esquire hist Schedule Set visit disaster cops book golden globes Action Fantasy versus crime thriller Tumblr war Apple indiana jones MCU Creative Arts Emmys Red Carpet Comedy Central FX foreign APB singing competition directors binge game show canceled TV shows what to watch Mary poppins Awards Tour joker Summer casting MSNBC docudrama Infographic movie dramedy National Geographic award winner Funimation Spike Food Network VH1 Pride Month cancelled TV series Photos FOX Rocky Winter TV Nickelodeon jamie lee curtis nature TIFF 2019 mutant TNT social media Marvel Television Shondaland Spectrum Originals critics harry potter Opinion Binge Guide Sneak Peek TBS canceled mockumentary ghosts Tubi Amazon Studios Watching Series Cannes Film Festival toy story films serial killer adaptation Disney streaming service TCA Winter 2020 Syfy natural history Sci-Fi period drama HBO Max television spy thriller Chilling Adventures of Sabrina RT21 2016 Pop Paramount screenings Netflix Christmas movies TV Land The Witch Nat Geo A24 Spring TV Character Guide 2018 Walt Disney Pictures TCM Box Office reviews Awards crime drama mission: impossible Disney+ Disney Plus El Rey LGBTQ Country TLC DC Comics Television Academy Freeform WGN GoT Western YA spider-man revenge streaming news blaxploitation cartoon RT History child's play Disney Plus zombie President blockbuster FX on Hulu Acorn TV die hard sequel ABC Family technology Drama Emmy Nominations Stephen King Musical CBS All Access VICE 45 HBO Go Biopics cats video on demand CW Seed Reality anthology Adult Swim cults festivals GLAAD Anna Paquin Marvel Studios Tarantino south america stand-up comedy 2015 Trivia Amazon Prime science fiction TV DirecTV Pet Sematary criterion American Society of Cinematographers